The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Leek Town 36.9%
Draw 26.2%
Ashton United 36.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.1%
26%
37%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.7%
25.1%
38.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leek Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
Ashton United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leek Town than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ashton United than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Leek Town - Ashton United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 17th and 14th).
Recent results have been tough for Leek (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Ashton has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Leek has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 6:2 (averaging 1.5:0.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Leek against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 5:1 goals (averaging 2.5:0.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
14
Ashton Utd
10
3
3
4
12:11
1
12
17
Leek
11
2
4
5
22:23
-1
10
Last Results with these Odds
Leek Town - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 37.06%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Ashton United - the odds 2.46 are the expected chance of winning is 36.96%, but this team recently wins 17% of matches with these odds.