Match Info

Latvian Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 13 July 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: LNK Sporta Parks (Riga) 🌤️ ...


	Leevon PPK		BFC Daugavpils

	1	X	2
	5.75	4.5	1.39
	7.9	5.3	1.26
				Watch
	8.7	5.2	1.29	Watch
	9.3	5.15	1.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.91 ↑ (6.17)	5.04 ↑ (4.63)	1.31 ↓ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leevon PPK
11.6%

Draw
18.2%

BFC Daugavpils
70.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

14.8%

19.7%

65.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.4%

21.8%

72.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leevon PPK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

BFC Daugavpils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leevon PPK than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for BFC Daugavpils than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Leevon PPK - BFC Daugavpils Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Saulitis H. (G) 22. Baumanis R. 14. Cernovs A. 11. Jankovskis N. 25. Kirkils G. (C) 21. Kravcenko K. 15. Krums R. 10. Liepins L. 97. Muiznieks R. 72. Ozols A. 33. Treimanis N.	1. Beks J. (G) 6. Barkovskis N. 33. Cucurs D. 10. Fofana W. 99. Galajs A. 11. Kone M. 97. Minins J. 9. Murakami S. 23. Promise V. 8. Skrebels R. (C) 4. Williams W.
Substitutes
32. Cevers R. 19. Jaudzems A. 37. Korzans R. 28. Lusis R. 99. Romenskis D. 1. Rumanis M. (G) 16. Snegovs V. 4. Trapucka D. 27. Ulmis R.	66. Bujanovs K. 30. Diallo B. 22. Garzha A. 7. Kauselis K. 29. Konate F. P. 18. Kopilovs M. 25. Saidy M. 58. Saveljevs J. (G) 20. Taty C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Fofana W. ⚽,
40', Williams W. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
46', Skrebels R. ↓, Taty C. ↑,
46', Galajs A. ↓, Konate F. P. ↑,
46', Kone M. ↓, Saidy M. ↑,
46', Fofana W. ↓, Diallo B. ↑,
62', Liepins L. ↓, Snegovs V. ↑,
62', Krums R. ↓, Romenskis D. ↑,
68', 1 - 1, Baumanis R. ⚽,
72', Murakami S. 🟨,
74', Kravcenko K. ↓, Cevers R. ↑,
74', 1 - 2, Diallo B. ⚽,
76', 1 - 3, Konate F. P. ⚽,
76', Muiznieks R. 🟨,
81', Cucurs D. ↓, Kopilovs M. ↑,
83', 2 - 3, Kirkils G. ⚽,
87', 🟨,
88', 🟨,
90+2', 2 - 4, Diallo B. ⚽,

Preview

Leevon is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Daugavpils has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Leevon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Daugavpils is the clear favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leevon PPK
Latvian 1 Liga
06.07.25	Leevon PPK - Olaine	3:2 ✺
29.06.25	Leevon PPK - Rēzekne	6:2 ✺
Latvian Cup
21.06.25	Salaspils - Leevon PPK	4:5 ✺
Latvian 1 Liga
14.06.25	Mārupe - Leevon PPK	1:0 ✺
Latvian Cup
31.05.25	Dienvidkurzeme - Leevon PPK	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWWLW
- BFC Daugavpils
UEFA Europa Conference League
10.07.25	Vllaznia Shkodër - BFC Daugavpils	0:1 ✺
Latvian Virsliga
06.07.25	Riga - BFC Daugavpils	1:1 ✺
30.06.25	BFC Daugavpils - RFS	1:7 ✺
26.06.25	BFC Daugavpils - Grobiņa	3:2 ✺
21.06.25	BFC Daugavpils - Tukums 2000	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.7 WTLWL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BFC Daugavpils
Latvian Virsliga
01.11.26	BFC Daugavpils - Tukums 2000	✺

Leevon PPK - BFC Daugavpils