Match Info

Virsliga - Round 19

Date: 20 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadions Celtnieks (Daugavpils)

Where to Watch on TV:


Latvia	Sportacentrs TV, TV4, Virsliga Plus


	BFC Daugavpils		Grobiņa

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.80	3.25	3.90
	1.73	3.45	4.10	Watch
	1.95	3.45	4.20
	1.79	3.48	4.32	Watch
	1.85	3.10	3.80
	1.80	3.34	4.06	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.75)	3.35 ↓ (3.42)	4.06 ↓ (4.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

BFC Daugavpils
50.2%

Draw
27.3%

Grobiņa
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.1%

26.6%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

25.8%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

BFC Daugavpils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Grobiņa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for BFC Daugavpils than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grobiņa than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

BFC Daugavpils - Grobiņa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Beks J. (G) 8. Skrebels R. 5. Papa 20. Taty C. 34. Ouled-Haj-M'hand Z. 10. Ivanovs E. (C) 4. Mukwelle W. 11. Yakubu J. 22. Garzha A. 9. Traore A. 15. Ndjiki R.	1. Kudrjavcevs V. (G) 2. Rupeiks K. 3. Druzinins D. (C) 8. Olatunde-Matthew O. 27. Baravykas R. 11. Rascevskis O. 87. Ribeiro J. 32. Kluskins G. 14. Sidorovs M. 13. Aruna A. 99. Puzirevskis A.
Substitutes
77. Aizups R. 99. Aronisko D. (G) 3. Baikovs R. 97. Kivinda D. 27. Kopilovs M. 37. Mihalcovs G. 19. Pinaskins E. 1. Saveljevs J. (G) 7. Sylla M.	10. Dobrecovs D. 23. Fjodorovs M. 9. Kholod A. 7. Krautmanis J. 33. Laizans T. (G) 25. Sirbu D. 20. Yamada H.
Coaches
Kurbatov K.	Klava O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Ivanovs E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Kluskins G. 🟨,
52', 1 - 0, Mukwelle W. (Penalty Awarded),
54', Baravykas R. 🟨,
58', Garzha A. ↓, Mihalcovs G. ↑,
59', Traore A. ↓, Sylla M. ↑,
60', Sidorovs M. ↓, Sirbu D. ↑,
72', Rupeiks K. ↓, Kholod A. ↑,
72', Rascevskis O. ↓, Dobrecovs D. ↑,
80', Mihalcovs G. 🟨,
86', Olatunde-Matthew O. 🟨,
87', Ndjiki R. (Penalty Awarded),
88', Sylla M. ↓, Pinaskins E. ↑,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 and 8)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Daugavpils won 2.

In recent matches, Daugavpils has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Grobiņa's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Grobiņa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Daugavpils is a strong favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Daugavpils won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 33:16. (average 2.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Daugavpils won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 21:5. (average 3.5:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	BFC Daugavpils	31	10	9	12	35:35	0	39
8	Grobina	31	5	11	15	21:52	-31	26

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BFC Daugavpils
Latvian Virsliga
16.06.26	BFC Daugavpils - Super Nova	0:0 ✺
12.06.26	Tukums 2000 - BFC Daugavpils	1:1 ✺
31.05.26	Jelgava - BFC Daugavpils	1:1 ✺
26.05.26	BFC Daugavpils - Auda Riga	0:1 ✺
21.05.26	BFC Daugavpils - Ogre United	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TTTLW
- Grobiņas SC
Latvian Virsliga
16.06.26	Grobiņa - Liepāja	1:0 ✺
13.06.26	Grobiņa - RFS	1:3 ✺
29.05.26	Riga - Grobiņa	2:0 ✺
25.05.26	Ogre United - Grobiņa	1:1 ✺
20.05.26	Grobiņa - Super Nova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Latvian Virsliga
02.05.26	Grobiņa - BFC Daugavpils	1:1
07.03.26	BFC Daugavpils - Grobiņa	0:1
15.09.25	BFC Daugavpils - Grobiņa	3:2
26.06.25	BFC Daugavpils - Grobiņa	3:2
04.05.25	Grobiņa - BFC Daugavpils	1:0
11.03.25	Grobiņa - BFC Daugavpils	3:2
14.09.24	BFC Daugavpils - Grobiņa	4:0

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