Match Info

LATVIA: Latvian Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 July 2024, Friday


	Leevon PPK		Grobiņa

	1	X	2
	5	4.5	1.53
	4.77	4.25	1.58	Watch
	4.8	4.2	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.86 ↑ (3.31)	4.32 ↑ (4)	1.55 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leevon PPK
19%

Draw
21.4%

Grobiņa
59.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.4%

22.7%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9%

23.1%

50.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leevon PPK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leevon PPK's form might have worsened.

Grobiņa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Grobiņa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leevon PPK than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leevon PPK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grobiņa than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Grobiņa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Leevon PPK - Grobiņa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Grigorjevs D. (C) 8. Baumanis R. 11. Jankovskis N. 10. Kirilins A. 25. Kirkils G. 21. Kravcenko K. 97. Muiznieks R. 14. Oliynyk M. 72. Ozols A. 24. Strods D. 22. Urujevs R.	1. Malysh A. (G) 3. Druzinins D. 8. Knapsis E. 7. Krautmanis J. 20. Kruglauzs M. 19. Krusatins A. (C) 22. Machado D. 4. Mammadzade N. 16. Mosquera D. 14. Rupeiks K. 44. Sdaigui Z.
Substitutes
15. Deaks O. 70. Helmanis G. 19. Jaudzems A. 28. Lusis R. 7. Romenskis D. 12. Saulitis H. (G) 95. Tatkov M. 27. Ulmis R.	10. Dobrecovs D. 17. Gaucis R. 21. Halata D. 6. Manga H. 12. Melkis R. 32. Pincuks N. (G) 40. Samietis R. 11. Tumanovs A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', Rupeiks K. 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Kirilins A. ⚽,
42', Mosquera D. ↓, Halata D. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Rupeiks K. ↓, Tumanovs A. ↑,
46', Knapsis E. ↓, Gaucis R. ↑,
53', Kirilins A. 🟨,
58', Ozols A. ↓, Tatkov M. ↑,
64', Kravcenko K. ↓, Deaks O. ↑,
64', Kirilins A. ↓, Helmanis G. ↑,
71', Krusatins A. ↓, Dobrecovs D. ↑,
81', Mammadzade N. ↓, Manga H. ↑,
81', Dobrecovs D. 🟨,
82', Baumanis R. 🟨,
90', Muiznieks R. ↓, Romenskis D. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 1, Kruglauzs M. ⚽,
90+5', 2 - 1, Kirkils G. ⚽,
90+5', 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leevon PPK
Latvian 1 Liga
05.07.24	Tukums 2000 2 - Leevon PPK	0:2 ✺
28.06.24	Leevon PPK - Rīgas FS 2	1:2 ✺
Latvian Cup
21.06.24	Leevon PPK - Skanstes	2:1 penalties ✺
Latvian 1 Liga
15.06.24	Leevon PPK - Rēzekne	4:1 ✺
Latvian Cup
31.05.24	Leevon PPK - Upesciema Warriors	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLWWW
- Grobiņas SC
Latvian Virsliga
08.07.24	Grobiņa - Tukums 2000	2:1 ✺
02.07.24	Auda Riga - Grobiņa	0:1 ✺
27.06.24	Grobiņa - BFC Daugavpils	3:0 ✺
22.06.24	Grobiņa - Riga	0:6 ✺
16.06.24	Grobiņa - Jelgava	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.3 WWWLW

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