The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Grobiņa 40.5%
Draw 28%
Jelgava 31.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.1%
27.2%
38.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.2%
27.9%
39.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grobiņa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Grobiņa's performance.
Jelgava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jelgava might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grobiņa than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Grobiņa that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelgava than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jelgava could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Grobiņa - Jelgava Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Ozols R. (G) 2. Rupeiks K. 3. Druzinins D. (C) 15. Jovanovic A. 11. Rascevskis O. 88. Tyshchenko I. 27. Baravykas R. 87. Ribeiro J. 80. Baydal A. 99. Puzirevskis A. 6. Corryn M.
1. Dvorak A. (C) 13. Novikovs J. 4. Kangars A. 27. Alekseiciks K. 3. Semesko M. 22. Pudil M. 29. Zaleiko G. 11. Hasek M. 8. Melkis R. 24. Hasek F. 20. Patika G.
Substitutes
13. Aruna A. 10. Dobrecovs D. 32. Kluskins G. 1. Kudrjavcevs V. (G) 5. Leitans G. 8. Olatunde-Matthew O. 14. Sidorovs M. 20. Yamada H. 17. Zjuzins A.
9. Becers R. 23. Dreimanis A. 16. Leitis T. (G) 19. Petersons A. 17. Rataj T. 18. Smaukstelis E.
Coaches
Klava O.
Basovs A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Tyshchenko I. 🟨,
28', Ribeiro J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Tyshchenko I. ↓, Olatunde-Matthew O. ↑,
51', Patika G. ↓, Rataj T. ↑,
68', Melkis R. (Penalty Awarded),
72', Puzirevskis A. 🟨,
72', Ribeiro J. ↓, Kluskins G. ↑,
76', Alekseiciks K. 🟨,
84', Hasek F. ↓, Smaukstelis E. ↑,
84', Melkis R. ↓, Becers R. ↑,
88', Baydal A. ↓, Aruna A. ↑,
88', Olatunde-Matthew O. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grobiņa won 3.
Recent form of Grobiņa has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Jelgava has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Recently, Grobiņa has had a series of away games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Grobiņa won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:19. (average 1.1:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Grobiņa won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:8. (average 2:1.6).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
7
Jelgava
32
8
8
16
34:53
-19
32
8
Grobina
32
5
11
16
22:54
-32
26
Last Results with these Odds
Jelgava - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 38.71%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.