The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Grobiņa 33.8%
Draw 27.3%
BFC Daugavpils 38.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.5%
26.3%
46.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.5%
24.4%
50%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grobiņa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Grobiņa's performance.
BFC Daugavpils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and BFC Daugavpils might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grobiņa than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Grobiņa that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for BFC Daugavpils than the current prediction. (+11.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that BFC Daugavpils could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Grobiņa - BFC Daugavpils Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +0.75 - Grobiņa (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Grobiņa (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Ozols R. (G) 2. Rupeiks K. 15. Jovanovic A. 27. Baravykas R. (C) 11. Rascevskis O. 77. Dodo 14. Sidorovs M. 87. Ribeiro J. 80. Baydal A. 88. Tyshchenko I. 6. Corryn M.
12. Beks J. (G) 8. Skrebels R. 5. Papa 20. Taty C. 37. Mihalcovs G. 11. Yakubu J. 10. Ivanovs E. (C) 4. Mukwelle W. 9. Traore A. 97. Kivinda D. 3. Ayebadiepreye D.
Substitutes
10. Dobrecovs D. 32. Kluskins G. 7. Krautmanis J. 1. Kudrjavcevs V. (G) 5. Leitans G. 29. Matyushenko I. 99. Puzirevskis A. 20. Yamada H. 17. Zjuzins A.
77. Aizups R. 6. Barkovskis N. 66. Bujanovs K. 27. Kopilovs M. 34. Ouled-Haj-M'hand Z. 19. Pinaskins E. 58. Razumejevs V. (G)
Coaches
Klava O.
Kurbatov K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Ayebadiepreye D. 🟨,
21', Rupeiks K. 🟨,
43', Ribeiro J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Sidorovs M. 🟨,
59', Ayebadiepreye D. ↓, Pinaskins E. ↑,
60', Kivinda D. 🟨,
70', Tyshchenko I. ↓, Puzirevskis A. ↑,
71', Skrebels R. 🟨,
73', Traore A. ↓, Ouled-Haj-M'hand Z. ↑,
75', 1 - 0, Corryn M. ⚽, Puzirevskis A. (A),
82', Mukwelle W. ↓, Barkovskis N. ↑,
89', Ribeiro J. ↓, Kluskins G. ↑,
90+3', Baydal A. ↓, Dobrecovs D. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grobiņa won 1.
Grobiņa is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Daugavpils is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Grobiņa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Grobiņa has had a series of away games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Grobiņa won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 16:34. (average 1.2:2.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Grobiņa won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.8:2).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
BFC Daugavpils
31
10
9
12
35:35
0
39
8
Grobina
31
5
11
15
21:52
-31
26
Last Results with these Odds
BFC Daugavpils - the odds 1.93 are the expected chance of winning is 46.26%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.
Latvia
Ukraine
Usa
World
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Ozols R. (G) 
Jovanovic A. 
Baravykas R. (C) 
Dodo 
Ribeiro J. 
Corryn M. 
Papa 
Taty C. 
Yakubu J. 
Mukwelle W. 
Traore A. 
Yamada H. 
Ouled-Haj-M'hand Z. 
