Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 3

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Butarque (Leganes)

Referee: Guzman J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Sky Sport
Spain	LaLiga Hypermotion 2, LaLiga TV Bar 4
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Leganés		Eldense

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.5	4	Watch
	1.82	3.30	4.10
	1.88	3.35	3.85	Watch
	1.96	3.51	4.43
	1.89	3.51	4.2	Watch
	1.87	3.4	4.3
	1.89	3.6	4.27	Watch
	1.91	3.45	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.21)	3.45 ↑ (3.34)	4.13 ↑ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leganés
49.9%

Draw
27.3%

Eldense
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

28.3%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

28.3%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leganés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leganés's performance.

Eldense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Eldense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leganés that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eldense than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Eldense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Leganés - Eldense Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Leganés will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Eldense will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Zidane L. (G) 11. Garcia N. 6. Aguilar Lopez G. 5. Miquel I. 2. Marvel 10. Buurmeester Z. 20. Atienza M. 8. Kechta Y. 7. Pena R. (C) 17. Gharbi I. 19. Soko P.	1. Vila R. (G) 17. Clemente J. (C) 5. Serradell A. G. 4. Smand F. 34. Olaizola J. 14. Smith J. 18. Macho G. 10. Fidel 23. Martin J. 21. Ruiz D. 9. Carmona M.
Substitutes
22. Alex Sancris 18. Campos A. 38. Gorrin A. (G) 29. Hamansenya D. 31. Lozano N. (G) 9. Millan A. 4. Pulido R. 14. Rodriguez D. 32. Sule	27. Amarillo C. 36. Bernabeu D. (G) 19. Ibarrondo A. 13. Juanpa (G) 31. Marin A. 24. Martinez J. 11. Nieto M. 7. Rastrojo J. 30. Rodriguez D. 22. Yanda J.
Coaches
Albes R.	Barragan C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', Pena R. ↓, Rodriguez D. ↑,
63', Garcia N. ↓, Alex Sancris ↑,
63', Soko P. ↓, Millan A. ↑,
68', Martin J. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
73', Carmona M. ↓, Rastrojo J. ↑,
82', Kechta Y. ↓, Sule ↑,
82', Aguilar Lopez G. ↓, Pulido R. ↑,
83', Clemente J. ↓, Ibarrondo A. ↑,
83', Fidel ↓, Nieto M. ↑,
90', 1 - 0, Atienza M. ⚽, Sule (A),
90+3', Millan A. 🟨,

Preview

Leganés has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Eldense is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Leganés has had a series of away games.

In this match, Leganés is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Leganés: Diawara A. (Injury) Fernandez R. (Red Card) Franquesa E. (Knee Injury) Gothler A. (Injury) Hernandez J. (Coach's decision) Melero G. (Transfer negotiations) del Cura U. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Eldense: Ibarrondo A. (Injury) Nieto M. (Foot Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Leganés won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Leganés won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Eldense	9	3	2	4	10:11	-1	11
15	Leganes	8	3	2	3	6:11	-5	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Leganés
Spanish LaLiga2
22.08.26	Real Oviedo - Leganés	0:1 ✺
16.08.26	Girona - Leganés	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
04.08.26	Leganés - Al-Rayyan	2:1 ✺
01.08.26	Swansea City - Leganés	1:0 ✺
28.07.26	Real Madrid - Leganés	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WTWLL
- CD Eldense
Spanish LaLiga2
22.08.26	Eldense - Cádiz	2:2 ✺
17.08.26	Almería - Eldense	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
11.08.26	Eldense - Cartagena	3:0 ✺
07.08.26	Albacete Balompié - Eldense	1:0 ✺
04.08.26	Eldense - Villarreal B	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
05.05.24	Eldense - Leganés	1:2
10.12.23	Leganés - Eldense	1:1

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