Match Info

LaLiga - Round 31

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Butarque (Leganes)

Referee: Maeso F. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
Albania	K-Sport 1, SuperSport 2
Angola	Z Sport La Liga
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Belgium	DAZN 1, Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Cameroon	CRTV Sports
Canada	TSN+
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cuba	Tele Rebelde
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Europe	Go3 Sport 1 Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2, Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Haiti	Canal+ Sport 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	GXR World
Indonesia	beIN Connect, RCTI+, Vidio
Iran	IRIB Varzesh
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Kenya	Gotv
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Plus, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mauritius	MBC 11
Mexico	Sky Sport
Mozambique	Startimes Mania
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect, TVWan Sports 2
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte, SportsMax 2 Caribbean, SportsMax App Caribbean
North-macedonia	TDM Desporto
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	DAZN 1
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	ESPN South, ViX Latin America
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga 2, DAZN LaLiga 2, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play, Viaplay
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Taiwan	DAZN
Tanzania	Azam Sports 4
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United-kingdom	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Uzbekistan	Zor TV
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	SCTV 22, SCTV Online
World	Disney+, Setanta Sports 2 Eurasia


	Leganés		Barcelona

	1	X	2
	9	6.5	1.25	Watch
	8.5	6	1.31
	11	6.5	1.26	Watch
	11.86	6.6	1.25	Watch
	9	5.8	1.3
	10.2	6.98	1.27
	11	6.5	1.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.08 ↑ (8.94)	6.41 ↑ (5.77)	1.27 ↓ (1.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

Watch this match and Spanish LaLiga with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: ESPN Deportes

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Leganés
9.5%

Draw
15%

Barcelona
75.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.8%

16.7%

72.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.6%

16.4%

73.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leganés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Barcelona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barcelona than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20.7%	6.9%	72.4%

Leganés - Barcelona Predictions

Users Predictions: 58 users predict this event. Leganés will win (votes: 12 - 20.7%). Barcelona will win (votes: 42 - 72.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 6.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Barcelona: 60.9% – 83.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Barcelona will win (12 of 16 users predict this - 75%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Dmitrovic M. (G) 12. Rosier V. 2. Altimira A. 6. Gonzalez S. (C) 3. Saenz J. 20. Hernandez J. 10. Raba D. 8. Cisse S. 5. Tapia R. 7. Rodriguez O. 30. Diomande Y.	25. Szczesny W. (G) 23. Kounde J. 4. Araujo R. (C) 5. Martinez I. 3. Balde A. 24. Garcia E. 8. Pedri 19. Yamal L. 16. Lopez F. 11. Raphinha 9. Lewandowski R.
Substitutes
36. Alvin (G) 28. Bachiller I. 14. Brasanac D. 24. Chicco J. 11. Cruz J. 9. de la Fuente M. 18. Duk 19. Garcia D. 21. Lopez R. 23. Munir El Haddadi 17. Neyou Y. 1. Soriano J. (G)	15. Christensen A. 2. Cubarsi P. 21. de Jong F. 10. Fati A. 32. Fort H. 6. Gavi 31. Kochen D. (G) 35. Martin G. 13. Pena I. (G) 14. Torre P. 7. Torres F. 18. Victor P.
Coaches
Jimenez B.	Flick H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Altimira A. 🟨,
41', Balde A. ↓, Martin G. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Araujo R. ↓, de Jong F. ↑,
48', 0 - 1, Saenz J. (Own goal),
59', Diomande Y. ↓, Cruz J. ↑,
67', Rodriguez O. ↓, Neyou Y. ↑,
67', Lopez F. ↓, Gavi ↑,
67', Lewandowski R. ↓, Torres F. ↑,
75', Altimira A. ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
75', Cisse S. ↓, Munir El Haddadi ↑,
80', Garcia E. ↓, Cubarsi P. ↑,
87', Raba D. 🟨,
87', de Jong F. 🟨,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leganés won 1.

Leganés is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Barcelona in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Leganés could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Barcelona have a series of home games.

In this match Barcelona is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Leganés: Barisic B. (Knee Injury) Franquesa E. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Barcelona: Bernal M. (Knee Injury) Casado M. (Knee Injury) Olmo D. (Groin Injury) ter Stegen M. (Knee Injury)

Last 10 head-to-head matches Leganés won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 8:26 (average 0.8:2.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Leganés won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:11 (average 1:2.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Leganés
Spanish LaLiga
07.04.25	Leganés - Osasuna	1:1 ✺
29.03.25	Real Madrid - Leganés	3:2 ✺
16.03.25	Leganés - Betis	2:3 ✺
08.03.25	Celta de Vigo - Leganés	2:1 ✺
02.03.25	Leganés - Getafe	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TLLLW
- FC Barcelona
UEFA Champions League
09.04.25	Barcelona - Borussia Dortmund	4:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
05.04.25	Barcelona - Betis	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
02.04.25	Atlético Madrid - Barcelona	0:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
30.03.25	Barcelona - Girona	4:1 ✺
27.03.25	Barcelona - Osasuna	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
15.12.24	Barcelona - Leganés	0:1
16.06.20	Barcelona - Leganés	2:0
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.01.20	Barcelona - Leganés	5:0
Spanish LaLiga
23.11.19	Leganés - Barcelona	1:2
20.01.19	Barcelona - Leganés	3:1
26.09.18	Leganés - Barcelona	2:1
07.04.18	Barcelona - Leganés	3:1

Upcoming Matches