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Barcelona - Borussia Dortmund: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • Champions League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Date: 9 April 2025, Wednesday
  • Location: Estadi Olímpic Lluís Companys (Barcelona)
  • Referee: Eskas E. (Nor)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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    Barcelona Borussia Dortmund
    Barcelona Borussia Dortmund
    1 X 2
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    (Initially)    		 1.32 ↓
    (1.38)    		 5.79 ↑
    (5.46)    		 8.44 ↑
    (7.49)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

    • The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Barcelona
    72.2%    		Draw
    16.5%    		Borussia Dortmund
    11.3%

    Initial Probability

    (when we started the analysis)
    69.6% 17.6% 12.8%

    Our Initial ML Estimation

    72.7% 16.8% 12.3%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Barcelona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • Borussia Dortmund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (+1%)

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    82.7% 6.1% 11.2%

    Barcelona - Borussia Dortmund Predictions

  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • TQ, OT - Barcelona (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • EH -1 - Barcelona (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -2 - Barcelona (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • DC - Borussia D (3.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Barcelona (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Barcelona will win (81 of 97 users predict this - 83.51%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 76.13% – 90.89%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Barcelona will win (22 of 26 users predict this - 84.62%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 31 Selected Experts predict this event. Barcelona (votes: 26 - 83.9%). Borussia D (votes: 4 - 12.9%). Tie (votes: 1 - 3.2%).
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
    25. PolandSzczesny W. (G)
    23. FranceKounde J.
      2. SpainCubarsi P.
      5. SpainMartinez I.
      3. SpainBalde A.
    21. Netherlandsde Jong F. (C)
      8. SpainPedri
    16. SpainLopez F.
    19. SpainYamal L.
      9. PolandLewandowski R.
    11. BrazilRaphinha
    		  1. SwitzerlandKobel G. (G)
      5. AlgeriaBensebaini R.
      3. GermanyAnton W.
    23. GermanyCan E. (C)
    26. NorwayRyerson J.
      8. GermanyNmecha F.
    17. EnglandChukwuemeka C.
    10. GermanyBrandt J.
    27. GermanyAdeyemi K.
      9. GuineaGuirassy S.
    43. EnglandGittens J.
    Substitutes
      4. UruguayAraujo R.
    15. DenmarkChristensen A.
    10. SpainFati A.
    32. SpainFort H.
    24. SpainGarcia E.
      6. SpainGavi
    31. USAKochen D. (G)
    35. SpainMartin G.
    13. SpainPena I. (G)
    14. SpainTorre P.
      7. SpainTorres F.
    18. SpainVictor P.
    		14. GermanyBeier M.
      2. BrazilCouto Y.
    16. BelgiumDuranville J.
    42. GermanyKabar A.
    35. PolandLotka M. (G)
    33. GermanyMeyer A. (G)
      6. TurkeyOzcan S.
      7. USAReyna G.
    25. GermanySule N.
    24. SwedenSvensson D.
    38. GermanyWatjen K.
    Coaches
         GermanyFlick H.
    		     CroatiaKovac N.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (1 - 0)
    • 24', Adeyemi K. 🟨,
    • 25', 1 - 0, Raphinha ⚽, Cubarsi P. (A),
    • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
    • 46', Adeyemi K. ↓, Beier M. ↑,
    • 48', 2 - 0, Lewandowski R. ⚽, Raphinha (A),
    • 66', 3 - 0, Lewandowski R. ⚽, Lopez F. (A),
    • 67', Nmecha F. ↓, Ozcan S. ↑,
    • 67', Chukwuemeka C. ↓, Reyna G. ↑,
    • 74', Guirassy S. 🟨,
    • 74', Lopez F. ↓, Gavi ↑,
    • 77', 4 - 0, Yamal L. ⚽, Raphinha (A),
    • 78', Gittens J. ↓, Duranville J. ↑,
    • 78', Ryerson J. ↓, Sule N. ↑,
    • 81', Pedri ↓, Garcia E. ↑,
    • 81', Martinez I. ↓, Araujo R. ↑,
    • 81', Lewandowski R. ↓, Torres F. ↑,
    • 86', Yamal L. ↓, Fati A. ↑,

    Preview

  • 1st leg.
  • Barcelona in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
  • Recent matches Borussia D is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
  • Barcelona could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
  • In this match Barcelona is absolute favorite.
  • There will not play in Barcelona: Bernal M. (Knee Injury) Casado M. (Knee Injury) Olmo D. (Groin Injury) ter Stegen M. (Knee Injury)
  • There will not play in Borussia D: Azhil A. (Thigh Injury) Campbell C. (Muscle Injury) Gross P. (Yellow Cards) Mane F. (Muscle Injury) Sabitzer M. (Knee Injury) Schlotterbeck N. (Knee Injury)
  • Our prediction for today's Barcelona to win the game is with odds 1.33.
  • Last 3 head-to-head matches Barcelona won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:3 (average 2:1).
  • Including matches at home between the teams Barcelona won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1

    • Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - FC Barcelona
    Spanish LaLiga
    05.04.25 Barcelona - Betis 1:1 ✺
    Spanish Copa del Rey
    02.04.25 Atlético Madrid - Barcelona 0:1 ✺
    Spanish LaLiga
    30.03.25 Barcelona - Girona 4:1 ✺
    27.03.25 Barcelona - Osasuna 3:0 ✺
    16.03.25 Atlético Madrid - Barcelona 2:4 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6
    TWWWW
    - Borussia Dortmund
    German Bundesliga
    05.04.25 Freiburg - Borussia Dortmund 1:4 ✺
    30.03.25 Borussia Dortmund - Mainz 3:1 ✺
    15.03.25 RB Leipzig - Borussia Dortmund 2:0 ✺
    UEFA Champions League
    12.03.25 Lille - Borussia Dortmund 1:2 ✺
    German Bundesliga
    08.03.25 Borussia Dortmund - Augsburg 0:1 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9
    WWLWL
    Latest Head to Head
    UEFA Champions League
    11.12.24 Borussia Dortmund - Barcelona 2:3
    27.11.19 Barcelona - Borussia Dortmund 3:1
    17.09.19 Borussia Dortmund - Barcelona 0:0
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - FC Barcelona
    UEFA Champions League
    13.10.26 Galatasaray - Barcelona ✺
    Spanish LaLiga
    10.10.26 Barcelona - Getafe ✺
    - Borussia Dortmund
    UEFA Champions League
    14.10.26 Bodø Glimt - Borussia Dortmund ✺
    German Bundesliga
    09.10.26 Borussia Dortmund - Werder Bremen ✺

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