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Atlético Madrid - Barcelona: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • Champions League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Date: 14 April 2026, Tuesday
  • Location: Metropolitano Stadium (Madrid)
  • Referee: Turpin C. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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    Atlético Madrid Barcelona
    Atlético Madrid Barcelona
    1 X 2
    #Advertisement. GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ 3.7 4.75 1.75
    betsson 3.95 4.55 1.78
    Bet_in_Asia 3.91 4.7 1.79
    GGBet 3.96 4.79 1.76
    Williamhill 3.7 4.4 1.75
    BetNow 4.02 4.85 1.74
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.87 ↓
    (4.71)    		 4.67 ↓
    (4.73)    		 1.76 ↑
    (1.58)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

    • The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

    #Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

    Current Win Probability

    Atlético Madrid
    24.8%    		Draw
    20.6%    		Barcelona
    54.6%

    Initial Probability

    (when we started the analysis)
    20.1% 20% 59.9%

    Our Initial ML Estimation

    19.8% 19.7% 60.7%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • Barcelona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barcelona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (-5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barcelona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    18.7% 6.7% 74.7%

    Atlético Madrid - Barcelona Predictions

  • Users Predictions: 69 users predict this event. Atlético will win (votes: 13 - 18.8%). Barcelona will win (votes: 52 - 75.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 5.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Barcelona: 65.2% – 85.6%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DC - Atlético (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • TQ, OT - Barcelona (3.24) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 4 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -2 - Barcelona (4.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Atlético (2.01) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Barcelona will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Barcelona (votes: 12 - 85.7%).
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
      1. ArgentinaMusso J. (G)
    16. ArgentinaMolina N.
    24. SpainLe Normand R.
    15. FranceLenglet C.
      3. ItalyRuggeri M.
    20. ArgentinaSimeone G.
    14. SpainLlorente M.
      6. SpainKoke (C)
    22. NigeriaLookman A.
      7. FranceGriezmann A.
    19. ArgentinaAlvarez J.
    		13. SpainGarcia J. (G)
    23. FranceKounde J.
    24. SpainGarcia E.
    18. SpainMartin G.
      2. PortugalCancelo J.
      6. SpainGavi
      8. SpainPedri (C)
    10. SpainLamine Yamal
    20. SpainOlmo D.
    16. SpainFermín
      7. SpainTorres F.
    Substitutes
    11. ArgentinaAlmada T.
    10. SpainBaena A.
    32. SpainBonar J.
      5. USACardoso J.
    34. SpainDiaz J.
    31. SpainEsquivel S. (G)
    23. ArgentinaGonzalez N.
    30. SpainMartinez D.
      4. SpainMendoza R.
    13. SloveniaOblak J. (G)
      9. NorwaySorloth A.
    21. MexicoVargas O.
    		  4. UruguayAraujo R.
      3. SpainBalde A.
    28. SwedenBardghji R.
    17. SpainCasado M.
    36. SpainCortes A.
    21. Netherlandsde Jong F.
    42. SpainEspart X.
    31. USAKochen D. (G)
      9. PolandLewandowski R.
    43. SpainMarques T.
    14. EnglandRashford M.
    25. PolandSzczesny W. (G)
    Coaches
         ArgentinaSimeone D.
    		     GermanyFlick H.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (1 - 2)
    • 4', 0 - 1, Lamine Yamal ⚽, Torres F. (A),
    • 24', 0 - 2, Torres F. ⚽, Olmo D. (A),
    • 31', 1 - 2, Lookman A. ⚽, Llorente M. (A),
    • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
    • 66', Simeone G. ↓, Baena A. ↑,
    • 66', Lookman A. ↓, Gonzalez N. ↑,
    • 68', Torres F. ↓, Lewandowski R. ↑,
    • 68', Fermín ↓, Rashford M. ↑,
    • 69', Gavi 🟨,
    • 76', Griezmann A. ↓, Sorloth A. ↑,
    • 79', Garcia E. 🟥,
    • 81', Gavi ↓, de Jong F. ↑,
    • 89', Koke ↓, Cardoso J. ↑,
    • 89', Cancelo J. ↓, Araujo R. ↑,
    • 89', Olmo D. ↓, Bardghji R. ↑,

    Preview

  • First leg result: 2-0. Second leg.
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético won 2.
  • Atlético is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
  • Barcelona is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
  • Recently, Atlético has had a series of away games.
  • Recently, Barcelona has had a series of home games.
  • In this match, Barcelona is the team to beat.
  • There will not play in Atlético: Pubill M. (Yellow Cards)
  • There will not play in Barcelona: Christensen A. (Knee Injury) Cubarsi P. (Red Card) Raphinha (Thigh Injury)
  • There are questionable in Atlético: Gimenez J. M. (Injury) Hancko D. (Injury)
  • There are questionable in Barcelona: Bernal M. (Ankle Injury)
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlético won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 26:33. (average 1.3:1.7).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Atlético won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1.1:1.3).

    • Outrights of UEFA Champions League for now
    Barcelona: 16.17% Atl. Madrid: 1.83%

    Standings

    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    3Barcelona11005:143
    26Atl. Madrid10011:2-10

    Last Results with these Odds

    Barcelona - the odds 1.58 are the expected chance of winning is 59.9%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

    Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Atlético Madrid
    Spanish LaLiga
    11.04.26 Sevilla - Atlético Madrid 2:1 ✺
    UEFA Champions League
    08.04.26 Barcelona - Atlético Madrid 0:2 ✺
    Spanish LaLiga
    04.04.26 Atlético Madrid - Barcelona 1:2 ✺
    22.03.26 Real Madrid - Atlético Madrid 3:2 ✺
    UEFA Champions League
    18.03.26 Tottenham Hotspur - Atlético Madrid 3:2 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3
    LWLLL
    - FC Barcelona
    Spanish LaLiga
    11.04.26 Barcelona - Espanyol 4:1 ✺
    UEFA Champions League
    08.04.26 Barcelona - Atlético Madrid 0:2 ✺
    Spanish LaLiga
    04.04.26 Atlético Madrid - Barcelona 1:2 ✺
    22.03.26 Barcelona - Rayo Vallecano 1:0 ✺
    UEFA Champions League
    18.03.26 Barcelona - Newcastle United 7:2 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3
    WLWWW
    Latest Head to Head
    UEFA Champions League
    08.04.26 Barcelona - Atlético Madrid 0:2
    Spanish LaLiga
    04.04.26 Atlético Madrid - Barcelona 1:2
    Spanish Copa del Rey
    03.03.26 Barcelona - Atlético Madrid 3:0
    12.02.26 Atlético Madrid - Barcelona 4:0
    Spanish LaLiga
    02.12.25 Barcelona - Atlético Madrid 3:1
    Spanish Copa del Rey
    02.04.25 Atlético Madrid - Barcelona 0:1
    Spanish LaLiga
    16.03.25 Atlético Madrid - Barcelona 2:4
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Atlético Madrid
    UEFA Champions League
    13.10.26 Atlético Madrid - Manchester United ✺
    Spanish LaLiga
    10.10.26 Deportivo Alavés - Atlético Madrid ✺
    - FC Barcelona
    UEFA Champions League
    13.10.26 Galatasaray - Barcelona ✺
    Spanish LaLiga
    10.10.26 Barcelona - Getafe ✺

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