Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 11

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Municipal de Butarque (Leganes) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Rivera Olmedo O. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	01:15	beIN Connect
Indonesia	21:15	beIN Connect, Vidio
Laos	21:15	beIN Connect
Malaysia	22:15	beIN Sports 2
Mexico	08:15	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
New Zealand	03:15	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte
Philippines	22:15	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Singapore	22:15	beIN Sports 2
Spain	16:15	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
Thailand	21:15	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Ukraine	17:15	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
Usa	10:15	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Leganés		Mallorca

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.5	1.79	Watch
	3.40	3.00	2.10
	4.1	3.3	1.82	Watch
	4.41	3.41	1.94
	3.99	3.25	2.02	Watch
	4.35	3.35	1.92
	4.37	3.53	1.85	Watch
	4.3	3.45	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.16 ↑ (3.13)	3.35 ↑ (3.2)	1.91 ↓ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leganés
22.6%

Draw
28.1%

Mallorca
49.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.2%

29.6%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.6%

30%

39.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leganés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leganés's form might have worsened.

Mallorca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mallorca's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leganés, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mallorca than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mallorca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	36.4%	54.5%

Leganés - Mallorca Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Leganés will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Mallorca will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mallorca: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fernandez R. (G) 7. Pena R. (C) 4. Pulido R. 3. Montero J. 15. Franquesa E. 17. Gharbi I. 24. Diawara A. 19. Soko P. 14. Rodriguez D. 22. Alex Sancris 9. Millan A.	1. Tenas A. (G) 34. Calatayud M. 24. Valjent M. 21. Raillo A. (C) 5. Moreno A. 7. Sala A. 6. Sanchez A. 11. Luvumbo Z. 20. Torre P. 33. Liso A. 18. Fuentes A.
Substitutes
10. Buurmeester Z. 18. Campos A. 16. del Cura U. 11. Garcia N. 8. Kechta Y. 31. Lozano N. (G) 39. Martinez J. 2. Marvel 5. Miquel I. 32. Sule 13. Zidane L. (G)	13. Bergstrom L. (G) 16. Buksa A. 10. Darder S. 2. Fernandez G. 39. Garcia J. 30. Kalumba J. 3. Lato T. 4. Lopez D. 29. Orejuela L. 25. Pichu Cuellar (G) 9. Prats A. 22. Soumahoro A.
Coaches
Carrion L.	Garcia L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', Gharbi I. 🟨,
34', 0 - 1, Luvumbo Z. ⚽,
43', Pulido R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', Sanchez A. 🟨,
52', Garcia L. 🟨,
54', Sala A. 🟨,
54', Alex Sancris 🟨,
57', 1 - 1, Millan A. ⚽, Alex Sancris (A),
61', Tenas A. 🟨,
62', Rodriguez D. 🟨,
62', Torre P. ↓, Darder S. ↑,
66', Gharbi I. ↓, Buurmeester Z. ↑,
73', Millan A. ↓, del Cura U. ↑,
73', Rodriguez D. ↓, Garcia N. ↑,
75', Moreno A. ↓, Lato T. ↑,
80', Soko P. ↓, Campos A. ↑,
80', Diawara A. ↓, Kechta Y. ↑,
87', Luvumbo Z. ↓, Kalumba J. ↑,
87', Liso A. ↓, Fernandez G. ↑,
90+1', Lato T. 🟨,

Preview

A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 17th and 7th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leganés won 0.

Leganés is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Mallorca has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Leganés could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Mallorca holding a narrow advantage.

Confirmed absences for Leganés: Morata A. (Red Card).

Confirmed absences for Mallorca: Donald J. (Red Card) Luna D. (Injury) Morlanes M. (Injury) Puigmal A. (Muscle Injury) Roca A. (Injury) Salas J. (Knee Injury).

In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Leganés has recorded 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:8 (averaging 0.7:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Leganés against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 4:3 goals (averaging 0.8:0.6 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Mallorca	11	5	4	2	13:6	7	19
17	Leganes	11	3	3	5	7:16	-9	12

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga2 for now

Mallorca: 9.16% Leganes: 1.17%

Last Results with these Odds

Mallorca - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 40.24%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Leganés
Spanish LaLiga2
16.10.26	Leganés - Córdoba	0:1 ✺
11.10.26	Almería - Leganés	3:0 ✺
03.10.26	Cádiz - Leganés	4:0 ✺
28.09.26	Leganés - Castellón	0:2 ✺
20.09.26	Leganés - Granada	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLLLW
- RCD Mallorca
Spanish LaLiga2
17.10.26	Eibar - Mallorca	1:1 ✺
11.10.26	Mallorca - Las Palmas	3:1 ✺
04.10.26	Girona - Mallorca	0:0 ✺
27.09.26	Mallorca - Almería	0:1 ✺
19.09.26	Real Sociedad B - Mallorca	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
19.04.25	Mallorca - Leganés	0:0
31.08.24	Leganés - Mallorca	0:1
Spanish LaLiga2
01.04.21	Mallorca - Leganés	1:0
12.12.20	Leganés - Mallorca	0:1
Spanish LaLiga
19.06.20	Mallorca - Leganés	1:1
26.10.19	Leganés - Mallorca	1:0
Spanish LaLiga2
02.04.16	Mallorca - Leganés	3:0

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