What is the expert prediction for Girona vs Mallorca?

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Girona vs Mallorca Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Friday, May 01, 2026)

Match Info

LaLiga - Round 34

Date: 1 May 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Montilivi (Girona)

Referee: Maeso F. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
Albania	SuperSport 1, SuperSport 3
Angola	Z Sports La Liga
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 2
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN
Bangladesh	Begin
Belarus	Belarus 5
Bolivia	Tigo Sports 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports, DSports 2
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, SCTV, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX
Maldives	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Canal 5, Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Netherlands	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 3, Arena Sport 1
Singapore	beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Tajikistan	Varzish Sport
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 2
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 2, Inter
Vietnam	ON Football, ON Plus, SCTV 15, SCTV Online, VTVcab


	Girona		Mallorca

	1	X	2
	2	3.5	3.7	Watch
	2.05	3.5	3.5
	2.08	3.45	3.55	Watch
	2.06	3.5	3.89
	2.06	3.29	3.87	Watch
	2	3.3	3.6
	2.11	3.54	3.88	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.88)	3.44 ↓ (3.68)	3.71 ↓ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Girona
46.5%

Draw
27.8%

Mallorca
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.4%

25.7%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

26.9%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Girona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Mallorca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Girona than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Girona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mallorca than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Girona will win (votes: 22 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Girona: 50.6% – 82.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Mallorca (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Girona will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Girona (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Mallorca (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Gazzaniga P. (G) 4. Martinez A. (C) 16. Frances A. 12. Vitor Reis 17. Blind D. 8. Beltran F. 20. Witsel A. 15. Tsygankov V. 18. Ounahi A. 3. Roca J. 14. Echeverri C.	1. Roman L. (G) 23. Maffeo P. 24. Valjent M. (C) 5. Mascarell O. 22. Mojica J. 12. Samu Costa 10. Darder S. 8. Morlanes M. 20. Torre P. 7. Muriqi V. 30. Kalumba J.
Substitutes
36. Artero R. 1. Blanco R. (G) 21. Gil B. 25. Krapyvtsov V. (G) 11. Lemar T. 5. Lopez D. 23. Martin I. 2. Rincon H. 7. Stuani C.	11. Asano T. 3. Lato T. 19. Llabres J. 27. Lopez D. 15. Luvumbo Z. 2. Morey Bauza M. 34. Olaizola J. 25. Pichu Cuellar (G) 9. Prats A. 28. Riba C. 6. Sanchez A. 17. Virgili J.
Coaches
Michel	Demichelis M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
43', 0 - 1, Samu Costa ⚽, Mojica J. (A),
45+1', Tsygankov V. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kalumba J. ↓, Virgili J. ↑,
58', Maffeo P. 🟨,
64', Vitor Reis 🟨,
66', Torre P. ↓, Luvumbo Z. ↑,
70', Roca J. ↓, Gil B. ↑,
70', Echeverri C. ↓, Stuani C. ↑,
72', Virgili J. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
74', Blind D. ↓, Rincon H. ↑,
74', Beltran F. ↓, Lemar T. ↑,
78', Morlanes M. ↓, Llabres J. ↑,
79', Darder S. ↓, Lopez D. ↑,
82', Mojica J. 🟨,
90+4', Lemar T. 🟨,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 15 and 17)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Girona won 2.

Girona has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Mallorca has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Girona is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Girona: Juan Carlos (Knee Injury) Moreno A. (Yellow Cards) Portu (Knee Injury) Ruiz A. (Muscle Injury) Vanat V. (Injury) ter Stegen M. (Hamstring Injury) van de Beek D. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Mallorca: Bergstrom L. (Injury) Joseph M. (Knee Injury) Kumbulla M. (Muscle Injury) Raillo A. (Injury) Salas J. (Knee Injury)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Girona won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 19:19. (average 1.1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Girona won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:6. (average 1.4:0.8).

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Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Mallorca	38	11	9	18	47:57	-10	42
19	Girona	38	9	14	15	39:55	-16	41

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Girona FC
Spanish LaLiga
25.04.26	Valencia - Girona	2:1 ✺
21.04.26	Girona - Betis	2:3 ✺
10.04.26	Real Madrid - Girona	1:1 ✺
06.04.26	Girona - Villarreal	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Osasuna - Girona	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LLTWL
- RCD Mallorca
Spanish LaLiga
25.04.26	Deportivo Alavés - Mallorca	2:1 ✺
21.04.26	Mallorca - Valencia	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	Mallorca - Rayo Vallecano	3:0 ✺
04.04.26	Mallorca - Real Madrid	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Elche - Mallorca	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
04.01.26	Mallorca - Girona	1:2
05.05.25	Girona - Mallorca	1:0
14.12.24	Mallorca - Girona	2:1
03.03.24	Mallorca - Girona	1:0
Spanish Copa del Rey
24.01.24	Mallorca - Girona	3:2
Spanish LaLiga
23.09.23	Girona - Mallorca	5:3
04.05.23	Girona - Mallorca	2:1

Girona - Mallorca: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide