Match Info

ETHIOPIA: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 26

Date: 26 May 2023, Friday


	Legetafo Legedadi		Adama City

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.4	1.36
	6	3.9	1.45
	7.43	4.37	1.35
	7.4	4.65	1.36
	6.8	4.6	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.83 ↑ (4.29)	4.38 ↑ (3.53)	1.38 ↓ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Legetafo Legedadi
13.3%

Draw
20.8%

Adama City
65.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.2%

25.8%

52.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.7%

25.1%

54.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Legetafo Legedadi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Legetafo Legedadi's form might have worsened.

Adama City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Adama City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legetafo Legedadi than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Legetafo Legedadi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adama City than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Adama City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	10%	70%

Legetafo Legedadi - Adama City Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Legetafo will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Adama City will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Adama City: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Mensah K. (G) 11. Abera M. 4. Ahmed G. (C) 44. Alemayehu F. 18. Aniley T. 9. Arbo A. 14. Ataro E. 23. Ayele T. 13. Befkadu I. 17. Negash T. 5. Woldegiorgis M.	22. Habtamu S. (G) 17. Ali B. 28. Biniam A. 26. Demssie D. 8. Gobena A. 12. Hottesa D. (C) 21. Matewos E. 3. Mohammed M. 4. Solomon M. 27. Wondimu A. 7. Yohannes D.
Substitutes
6. Ayele A. 20. Damtew C. 31. Delil B. (G) 1. Doji M. (G) 24. Hassen Y. 25. Jul O. 29. Kidane S. 28. Legesse A. 22. Nigussu T. 19. Tesfaye A. 21. Tessema B. 30. Tola M.	29. Addis G. 30. Adugna B. (G) 9. Ame M. 1. Bah K. (G) 15. Gashew T. 6. Ibrahim F. 23. Leges E. 18. Nuri N. 14. Reshad A. 47. Tarekegn Y. 19. Tesfaye A. 25. Wabela A.

Preview

Legetafo is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Adama City is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Adama City will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Legetafo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Legetafo Legedadi
Ethiopian Premier League
20.05.23	Ethiopia Bunna - Legetafo Legedadi	1:1 ✺
16.05.23	Legetafo Legedadi - Fasil Kenema	0:2 ✺
11.05.23	Wolkite Kenema - Legetafo Legedadi	3:2 ✺
01.05.23	Welayta Dicha - Legetafo Legedadi	2:0 ✺
25.04.23	Legetafo Legedadi - Hadiya Hossana	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 TLLLT
- Adama City FC
Ethiopian Premier League
20.05.23	Adama City - Arba Minch	0:0 ✺
14.05.23	Adama City - Bahir Dar Kenema	0:1 ✺
08.05.23	Welayta Dicha - Adama City	1:1 ✺
02.05.23	Ethiopia Bunna - Adama City	2:2 ✺
25.04.23	Adama City - Sidama Coffee	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
06.12.22	Adama City - Legetafo Legedadi	3:0

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