Match Info

Premier League - Round 24

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday


	Ethiopia Bunna		Adama City

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.82	3.2
	2.14	3	3.36
	2.22	2.9	3.44	Watch
	2.15	2.8	3.25
	2.16	2.94	3.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.54)	2.89 ↑ (2.83)	3.32 ↑ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ethiopia Bunna
41.4%

Draw
31.3%

Adama City
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

32.5%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

31.5%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ethiopia Bunna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ethiopia Bunna's performance.

Adama City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ethiopia Bunna than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adama City than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Ethiopia Bunna - Adama City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, ⚽,
19', 1 - 1, ⚽,
27', 2 - 1, ⚽,
30', 2 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
71', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ethiopia Bunna won 1.

Ethiopia Bunna is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Adama City has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Ethiopia Bunna won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 19:17. (average 1.1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Ethiopia Bunna won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.1:0.6).

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Ethiopia Bunna	38	13	12	13	40:39	1	51
15	Adama City	38	10	16	12	35:39	-4	46

Last Results with these Odds

Adama City - the odds 2.94 are the expected chance of winning is 31.29%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ethiopia Bunna
Ethiopian Premier League
08.03.26	Ethio Electric - Ethiopia Bunna	2:1 ✺
04.03.26	Ethiopia Bunna - Bahir Dar Kenema	2:0 ✺
26.02.26	Negele Arsi Ketema - Ethiopia Bunna	0:1 ✺
06.02.26	Ethiopia Bunna - Welayta Dicha	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	Mekelle 70 Enderta - Ethiopia Bunna	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LWWWT
- Adama City FC
Ethiopian Premier League
10.03.26	Adama City - Arba Minch	0:2 ✺
05.03.26	Hadiya Hossana - Adama City	1:1 ✺
26.02.26	Adama City - Sheger Ketema	3:3 ✺
21.02.26	Ethiopian Medhin - Adama City	0:1 ✺
06.02.26	Adama City - Hawassa City	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
09.11.25	Adama City - Ethiopia Bunna	1:0
18.05.25	Ethiopia Bunna - Adama City	2:0
29.11.24	Adama City - Ethiopia Bunna	2:1
14.04.24	Ethiopia Bunna - Adama City	0:1
03.12.23	Adama City - Ethiopia Bunna	2:1
02.05.23	Ethiopia Bunna - Adama City	2:2
25.12.22	Adama City - Ethiopia Bunna	0:3

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