Match Info

ETHIOPIA: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 24

Date: 16 May 2023, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Legetafo Legedadi		Fasil Kenema

	1	X	2
	8	4.2	1.33
	8	4.2	1.33
	6.57	4	1.39
	8.3	4.55	1.34	Watch
	7.8	4.5	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.73 ↑ (4.76)	4.29 ↑ (3.5)	1.35 ↓ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Legetafo Legedadi
11.7%

Draw
21.1%

Fasil Kenema
67.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

19.2%

26.1%

54.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.1%

26%

54.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Legetafo Legedadi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Legetafo Legedadi's form might have worsened.

Fasil Kenema has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fasil Kenema's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legetafo Legedadi than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Legetafo Legedadi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fasil Kenema than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fasil Kenema, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Legetafo Legedadi - Fasil Kenema Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Legetafo will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Fasil Kenema will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 5).

Legetafo is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Fasil Kenema is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Legetafo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Fasil Kenema is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Legetafo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Legetafo Legedadi
Ethiopian Premier League
11.05.23	Wolkite Kenema - Legetafo Legedadi	3:2 ✺
01.05.23	Welayta Dicha - Legetafo Legedadi	2:0 ✺
25.04.23	Legetafo Legedadi - Hadiya Hossana	0:0 ✺
19.04.23	Legetafo Legedadi - Bahir Dar Kenema	1:3 ✺
15.04.23	Legetafo Legedadi - Ethio Electric	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LLTLT
- Fasil Kenema FC
Ethiopian Premier League
08.05.23	Fasil Kenema - Arba Minch	1:1 ✺
01.05.23	Fasil Kenema - Hadiya Hossana	2:1 ✺
26.04.23	Fasil Kenema - Hawassa City	1:0 ✺
22.04.23	Saint George - Fasil Kenema	1:0 ✺
16.04.23	Defence Force - Fasil Kenema	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
25.11.22	Fasil Kenema - Legetafo Legedadi	3:0

Legetafo Legedadi - Fasil Kenema