Match Info
Premier League - Round 23Date: 10 March 2026, Tuesday
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Adama City |
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Arba Minch |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.46 |
2.64 |
3.33 |
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2.47 |
2.65 |
3.29 |
 Watch |
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2.4 |
2.5 |
3.2 |
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2.49 |
2.73 |
3.32 |
Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.46 ↑
(2.29) |
2.63 ↓
(2.87) |
3.29 ↓
(3.32) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Adama City
37.3% | Draw
34.8% | Arba Minch
27.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Adama City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)Arba Minch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adama City than the current prediction. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arba Minch than the current prediction. (-0.7%)Adama City - Arba Minch Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 27', 0 - 1, Philip J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 62', 0 - 2, Rahman M. ⚽,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 7 and 20 in the zone Relegation).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Adama City won 1.Both teams have been playing unpredictably. Adama City could have a small edge in this match.In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Adama City won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.6:1).Including home matches between the teams, Adama City won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 0.8:1).
Standings
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 15 | Adama City | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 35:39 | -4 | 46 |
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| 20 | Arba Menche | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 30:46 | -16 | 35 |
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Ethiopian Premier League | | | 04.11.25 | Arba Minch - Adama City | 0:1 | | 05.03.25 | Adama City - Arba Minch | 1:3 | | 13.01.25 | Arba Minch - Adama City | 2:0 | | 20.05.23 | Adama City - Arba Minch | 0:0 | | 01.12.22 | Arba Minch - Adama City | 1:0 | | 11.05.22 | Adama City - Arba Minch | 0:0 | | 18.12.21 | Arba Minch - Adama City | 1:1 |
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