Match Info

Premier League - Round 36

Date: 22 June 2026, Monday


	Fasil Kenema		Arba Minch

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.60	2.85
	2.45	2.60	3.10
	2.78	2.75	2.76
	2.6	2.47	3.36	Watch
	2.62	2.50	2.80
	2.64	2.66	2.79	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↑ (2.6)	2.6 ↑ (2.47)	2.94 ↓ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fasil Kenema
34.6%

Draw
34.7%

Arba Minch
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

37.2%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

36.3%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fasil Kenema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Arba Minch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fasil Kenema than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arba Minch than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Fasil Kenema - Arba Minch Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Fasil Kenema will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Arba Minch will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Eyasu T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
80', 2 - 0, Eyasu T. ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fasil Kenema won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Fasil Kenema won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 0.9:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Fasil Kenema won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Fasil Kenema	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Last Results with these Odds

Fasil Kenema - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 35.38%, but this team recently wins 9% of matches with these odds.

Arba Minch - the odds 3.36 are the expected chance of winning is 27.38%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fasil Kenema FC
Ethiopian Premier League
15.06.26	Hadiya Hossana - Fasil Kenema	0:1 ✺
29.05.26	Fasil Kenema - Sheger Ketema	0:1 ✺
20.05.26	Ethiopia Bunna - Fasil Kenema	2:1 ✺
16.05.26	Fasil Kenema - Adama City	3:1 ✺
10.05.26	Ethio Electric - Fasil Kenema	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLLWL
- Arba Minch FC
Ethiopian Premier League
15.06.26	Arba Minch - Shire Endaselassie	2:0 ✺
28.05.26	Mechal - Arba Minch	1:2 ✺
21.05.26	Arba Minch - Sidama Coffee	0:3 ✺
16.05.26	Hawassa City - Arba Minch	0:0 ✺
10.05.26	Arba Minch - Welayta Dicha	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
25.01.26	Arba Minch - Fasil Kenema	2:3
01.03.25	Arba Minch - Fasil Kenema	1:0
29.10.24	Fasil Kenema - Arba Minch	0:1
08.05.23	Fasil Kenema - Arba Minch	1:1
19.11.22	Arba Minch - Fasil Kenema	1:1
26.04.22	Arba Minch - Fasil Kenema	0:1
27.11.21	Fasil Kenema - Arba Minch	1:1

Fasil Kenema - Arba Minch: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide