Match Info

POLAND: III Liga - Group I - Round 16

Date: 10 November 2024, Sunday


	Legia II		Unia Skierniewice

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.6	2.33
	2.25	3.45	2.38
	2.52	3.73	2.37
	2.49	3.44	2.4	Watch
	2.55	3.6	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↓ (3.26)	3.56 ↓ (4.2)	2.36 ↑ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Legia II
36.5%

Draw
25.3%

Unia Skierniewice
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

21.7%

50.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5%

21.4%

51.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Legia II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Legia II's performance.

Unia Skierniewice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Unia Skierniewice might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legia II than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Legia II that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unia Skierniewice than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Unia Skierniewice could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Legia II - Unia Skierniewice Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
56', 0 - 1, ⚽,
75', 1 - 1, ⚽,
80', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Legia II Warsaw
Polish Division 3 - Group I
02.11.24	ŁKS Łomża - Legia II	2:1 ✺
30.10.24	Legia II - Wisła Płock II	3:2 ✺
27.10.24	Legia II - Jagiellonia II Białystok	1:0 ✺
19.10.24	Victoria Sulejówek - Legia II	1:2 ✺
05.10.24	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Legia II	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWWWL
- Unia Skierniewice
Polish Division 3 - Group I
03.11.24	Unia Skierniewice - Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki	2:0 ✺
Polish Cup
30.10.24	Unia Skierniewice - GKS Katowice	2:1 ✺
Polish Division 3 - Group I
26.10.24	Wigry Suwałki - Unia Skierniewice	2:3 ✺
18.10.24	Unia Skierniewice - Mławianka Mława	0:0 ✺
11.10.24	Wikielec - Unia Skierniewice	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.1 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
20.04.24	Unia Skierniewice - Legia II	4:0
22.09.23	Legia II - Unia Skierniewice	2:1
03.06.23	Legia II - Unia Skierniewice	1:1
05.11.22	Unia Skierniewice - Legia II	1:0
30.04.22	Unia Skierniewice - Legia II	3:2
25.09.21	Legia II - Unia Skierniewice	0:2
29.05.21	Legia II - Unia Skierniewice	0:0

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