Match Info

POLAND: III Liga - Group I - Round 12

Date: 11 October 2024, Friday


	Wikielec		Unia Skierniewice

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.75	1.61
	4.3	3.9	1.64
	4.05	3.85	1.64
	4.36	4.01	1.64	Watch
	4.36	3.85	1.64	Watch
	4.3	3.9	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.26 ↑ (3.06)	3.88 ↑ (3.6)	1.64 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wikielec
21.3%

Draw
23.4%

Unia Skierniewice
55.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

25.3%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

25.4%

44.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wikielec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wikielec's form might have worsened.

Unia Skierniewice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Unia Skierniewice's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wikielec than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wikielec, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unia Skierniewice than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Unia Skierniewice, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Wikielec - Unia Skierniewice Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', 0 - 1, Stepien M. (Pen),

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2).

Recent matches Wikielec is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Unia Skierniewice is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Wikielec could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Unia Skierniewice will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wikielec won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:9 (average 1.6:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Wikielec won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GKS Wikielec
Polish Division 3 - Group I
05.10.24	ŁKS Łomża - Wikielec	1:1 ✺
27.09.24	Wikielec - Jagiellonia II Białystok	2:1 ✺
21.09.24	Victoria Sulejówek - Wikielec	2:0 ✺
14.09.24	Wikielec - Wisła Płock II	2:1 ✺
07.09.24	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Wikielec	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TWLWL
- Unia Skierniewice
Polish Division 3 - Group I
05.10.24	Unia Skierniewice - Broń Radom	2:1 ✺
Polish Cup
02.10.24	Unia Skierniewice - Motor Lublin	2:1 penalties ✺
Polish Division 3 - Group I
28.09.24	Warta Sieradz - Unia Skierniewice	3:1 ✺
21.09.24	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Unia Skierniewice	0:0 ✺
14.09.24	GKS Bełchatów - Unia Skierniewice	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
16.03.24	Wikielec - Unia Skierniewice	1:0
23.08.23	Unia Skierniewice - Wikielec	2:2
01.06.22	Unia Skierniewice - Wikielec	0:2
30.10.21	Wikielec - Unia Skierniewice	2:3
12.09.20	Unia Skierniewice - Wikielec	4:1

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