Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 30

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday


	Legia II		Ząbkovia Ząbki

	1	X	2
	1.19	5.7	11
	1.2	6.51	9.39
	1.23	5.93	9.26	Watch
	1.22	5.5	9.5
	1.19	6.05	10.3	Watch
	1.33	4.75	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.33)	5.74 ↑ (4.75)	9.24 ↑ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Legia II
74.3%

Draw
15.9%

Ząbkovia Ząbki
9.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.6%

18.6%

14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.9%

17.2%

13.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Legia II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Legia II's performance.

Ząbkovia Ząbki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legia II than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ząbkovia Ząbki than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Legia II - Ząbkovia Ząbki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
59', 1 - 0, Mozie P. ⚽,
65', 2 - 0, Ryczkowski A. ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 and 10).

Legia II is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Ząbkovia is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Ząbkovia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Legia II is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that Legia II will win today's game, with odds of 1.32.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Legia II won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Zabki	10	5	1	4	19:18	1	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Legia II Warsaw
Polish Division 3 - Group I
03.05.26	ŁKS Łomża - Legia II	3:0 ✺
25.04.26	Legia II - Troszyn	2:0 ✺
19.04.26	Legia II - Wigry Suwałki	1:0 ✺
15.04.26	Legia II - Wisła Płock II	3:0 ✺
12.04.26	Olimpia Elbląg - Legia II	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWWWW
- Ząbkovia Ząbki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
01.05.26	Ząbkovia Ząbki - Wasilków	0:3 ✺
25.04.26	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Ząbkovia Ząbki	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Ząbkovia Ząbki	3:3 ✺
11.04.26	Ząbkovia Ząbki - Wisła Płock II	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	ŁKS Łomża - Ząbkovia Ząbki	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
18.10.25	Ząbkovia Ząbki - Legia II	1:3

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