Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 8 August 2024, Thursday

Location: Brøndby Stadion (Brondby)

Referee: Dohal M. (Svk)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	TV3+, Viaplay
Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	Canal 11
Slovakia	Arena sport 1


	Brøndby		Legia Warsaw

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.6	3.75	Watch
	1.75	3.5	4.2
	1.82	3.6	4	Watch
	1.82	3.45	4.37
	1.83	3.56	4.19	Watch
	1.8	3.7	4.21	Watch
	1.82	3.6	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (2.01)	3.57 ↑ (3.45)	4.1 ↑ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brøndby
51.4%

Draw
26%

Legia Warsaw
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

26.9%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

26.2%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brøndby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Brøndby's performance.

Legia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brøndby than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brøndby that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.1%	11.5%	15.4%

Brøndby - Legia Warsaw Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Brøndby will win (votes: 19 - 76%). Legia will win (votes: 3 - 12%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brøndby: 59.3% – 92.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pentz P. (G) 32. Alves F. 5. Lauritsen R. 4. Rasmussen J. 2. Sebulonsen S. 28. Suzuki Y. 10. Wass D. (C) 35. Nartey N. 37. Bischoff C. 36. Kvistgaarden M. 11. Bundgaard F.	1. Tobiasz K. (G) 12. Pankov R. 8. Augustyniak R. 42. Sergio Barcia 23. Kun P. 67. Kapustka B. (C) 21. Celhaka J. 82. Luquinhas 19. Vinagre R. 28. Gual M. 7. Pekhart T.
Substitutes
23. Cappis C. 8. Greve M. 3. Heggheim H. 31. Klaiber S. 19. Kvist B. 16. Mikkelsen T. (G) 9. Omoijuanfo O. 22. Radosevic J. 41. Schwartau O. 50. Sonne Schmid W. (G) 18. Tshiembe K. 99. Yeboah E.	17. Alfarela M. 11. Chodyna K. 5. Goncalves C. 55. Jedrzejczyk A. 3. Kapuadi S. 27. Kobylak G. (G) 9. Kramer B. 25. Morishita R. 77. Nsame J. 86. Strzalek I. 13. Wszolek P. 24. Ziolkowski J.
Coaches
Sorensen J.	Feio G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
15', Celhaka J. ↓, Goncalves C. ↑,
19', 1 - 0, Bundgaard F. ⚽, Bischoff C. (A),
24', 1 - 1, Pekhart T. ⚽, Kapustka B. (A),
36', 2 - 1, Kvistgaarden M. ⚽, Bundgaard F. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
60', Kun P. ↓, Wszolek P. ↑,
60', Pekhart T. ↓, Kramer B. ↑,
65', Wass D. 🟨,
66', Sebulonsen S. ↓, Klaiber S. ↑,
71', 2 - 2, Luquinhas ⚽, Kramer B. (A),
75', Kvistgaarden M. ↓, Omoijuanfo O. ↑,
75', Bundgaard F. ↓, Schwartau O. ↑,
82', Kapustka B. ↓, Morishita R. ↑,
82', Gual M. ↓, Alfarela M. ↑,
87', 2 - 3, Morishita R. ⚽, Kramer B. (A),
90+2', Wass D. ↓, Radosevic J. ↑,
90+2', Nartey N. ↓, Yeboah E. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

In this match Brøndby is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brøndby IF
Danish Superliga
04.08.24	Lyngby BK - Brøndby	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
01.08.24	Llapi - Brøndby	2:2 ✺
Danish Superliga
29.07.24	Brøndby - Vejle Boldklub Kolding	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
25.07.24	Brøndby - Llapi	6:0 ✺
Danish Superliga
21.07.24	Viborg - Brøndby	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WTWWT
- Legia Warsaw
Polish Ekstraklasa
04.08.24	Legia Warsaw - Piast Gliwice	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
01.08.24	Caernarfon Town - Legia Warsaw	0:5 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
28.07.24	Korona Kielce - Legia Warsaw	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
25.07.24	Legia Warsaw - Caernarfon Town	6:0 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
20.07.24	Legia Warsaw - Zagłębie Lubin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWWWW

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