The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Legia Warsaw 47.8%
Draw 27.9%
Piast Gliwice 24.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.6%
22.9%
16.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.2%
22.3%
16.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Legia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Legia Warsaw's form might have worsened.
Piast Gliwice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Piast Gliwice's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+14.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Legia Warsaw, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Piast Gliwice than the current prediction. (-8.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Piast Gliwice, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
54.2%
12.5%
33.3%
Legia Warsaw - Piast Gliwice Predictions
Users Predictions:
24 users predict this event. Legia will win (votes: 13 - 54.2%). Piast will win (votes: 8 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Legia: 34.3% – 74.1%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Tobiasz K. (G) 7. Wszolek P. 91. Piatkowski K. 4. Burch M. 23. Kun P. 6. Arreiol H. 8. Augustyniak R. (C) 21. Bichakhchyan V. 53. Urbanski W. 77. Krasniqi E. 29. Rajovic M.
26. Plach F. (G) 28. Borowski F. 5. Juande 29. Drapinski I. 36. Lewicki J. 77. Jirka E. 10. Dziczek P. (C) 20. Tomasiewicz G. 11. Sanca L. 63. Barkovskiy G. 80. Vallejo H.
Substitutes
11. Chodyna K. 14. Colak A. 5. Goncalves C. 55. Jedrzejczyk A. 67. Kapustka B. 27. Kobylak G. (G) 13. Reca A. 30. Stojanovic P. 44. Szymanski D. 82. Urbanski K. 20. Zewlakow J.
17. Boisgard Q. 6. Chrapek M. 4. Czerwinski J. 9. Dalmau A. 7. Felix J. 98. Lokilo J. 19. Lubowiecki K. 22. Mokwa T. 23. Mucha S. 15. Pitan L. 79. Rychta D. (G) 33. Szymanski K. (G)
Coaches
Astiz I.
Mysliwiec D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', Borowski F. 🟨,
59', Bichakhchyan V. 🟨,
60', Piatkowski K. 🟨,
67', Vallejo H. ↓, Chrapek M. ↑,
67', Tomasiewicz G. ↓, Boisgard Q. ↑,
67', Bichakhchyan V. ↓, Urbanski K. ↑,
74', Urbanski W. ↓, Kapustka B. ↑,
74', Rajovic M. ↓, Colak A. ↑,
76', Barkovskiy G. ↓, Dalmau A. ↑,
77', Sanca L. ↓, Felix J. ↑,
83', 0 - 1, Chrapek M. ⚽,
84', Arreiol H. ↓, Szymanski D. ↑,
84', Krasniqi E. ↓, Stojanovic P. ↑,
87', Kapustka B. 🟨,
90+1', Borowski F. ↓, Czerwinski J. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Legia won 2.
Legia has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Piast has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Legia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Legia is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Legia: Goncalves C.
(Injury)
There will not play in Piast: Dalmau A.
(Injury)
Katsantonis A.
(Knee Injury)
We predict that Legia will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Legia won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:23. (average 1.3:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Legia won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.5:1.2).
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Tobiasz K. (G) 
Burch M. 
Arreiol H. 
Bichakhchyan V. 
Krasniqi E. 
Rajovic M. 
Plach F. (G) 
Juande 
Barkovskiy G. 
Colak A. 
Stojanovic P. 
Boisgard Q. 
Lokilo J. 
