Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - FINAL

Date: 31 August 2023, Thursday

Location: Stadion Wojska Polskiego (Warsaw)

Referee: Sozza S. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovakia	Arena sport 1


	Legia Warsaw		Midtjylland

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.6	4	Watch
				Watch
	1.8	3.65	4.1
	1.88	3.7	3.8
	1.93	3.75	3.85
	1.88	3.88	3.7	Watch
	1.9	3.9	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (1.9)	3.75 ↑ (3.6)	3.9 ↓ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Legia Warsaw
50.5%

Draw
25.2%

Midtjylland
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

26.4%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

25.9%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Legia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Midtjylland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Midtjylland than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.1%	19.6%	4.3%

Legia Warsaw - Midtjylland Predictions

Users Predictions: 46 users predict this event. Legia will win (votes: 35 - 76.1%). Midtjylland will win (votes: 2 - 4.3%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 19.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Legia: 63.8% – 88.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tobiasz K. (G) 55. Jedrzejczyk A. 8. Augustyniak R. 5. Ribeiro Y. 13. Wszolek P. 99. Slisz B. 22. Elitim J. 33. Kun P. 27. Josue (C) 7. Pekhart T. 28. Gual M.	1. Lossl J. (G) 14. Dalsgaard H. (C) 15. Ingason S. I. 73. Juninho 29. Paulinho 24. Sorensen O. 8. Olsson K. 37. Gigovic A. 58. Simsir A. 17. Franculino 10. Cho Gue-Sung
Substitutes
32. Baku M. 21. Celhaka J. 30. Hladun D. (G) 14. Kharatin I. 23. Kobylak G. (G) 9. Kramer B. 20. Muci E. 12. Pankov R. 92. Rose L. 39. Rosolek M. 18. Sokolowski P. 86. Strzalek I.	35. Charles 38. da Silva Liberato M. 44. Dyhr N. 25. Fossum I. 50. Fraisl M. (G) 13. Gabriel A. 4. Gartenmann S. 90. Hedvall O. (G) 33. Lindekilde J. 5. Martinez E. 26. Ortiz Cabezas P. A. 2. Romer A.
Coaches
Runjaic K.	Thomasberg T.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 3-3.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Midtjylland could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Legia is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Legia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Legia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Legia Warsaw
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.08.23	Midtjylland - Legia Warsaw	3:3 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
20.08.23	Legia Warsaw - Korona Kielce	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
17.08.23	Austria Wien - Legia Warsaw	3:5 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
13.08.23	Puszcza Niepołomice - Legia Warsaw	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
10.08.23	Legia Warsaw - Austria Wien	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TWWTL
- FC Midtjylland
Danish Superliga
27.08.23	Nordsjælland - Midtjylland	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.08.23	Midtjylland - Legia Warsaw	3:3 ✺
Danish Superliga
20.08.23	Midtjylland - Brøndby	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
17.08.23	Midtjylland - Omonia	5:1 ✺
Danish Superliga
13.08.23	Vejle Boldklub Kolding - Midtjylland	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
24.08.23	Midtjylland - Legia Warsaw	3:3
UEFA Europa League
26.11.15	Legia Warsaw - Midtjylland	1:0
17.09.15	Midtjylland - Legia Warsaw	1:0

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