Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 12 January 2026, Monday

Location: Marbella Football Center (Málaga)


	Legia Warsaw		Puskás Academy

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.75	3.95	3.8
	1.72	3.93	4.18	Watch
	1.8	3.5	3.7
	1.84	3.82	3.82	Watch
	1.8	3.75	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (2)	3.79 ↑ (3.79)	3.9 ↑ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Legia Warsaw
51.9%

Draw
24.4%

Puskás Academy
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

24.6%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

23.4%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Legia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Legia Warsaw's performance.

Puskás Academy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Puskás Academy might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puskás Academy than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Legia Warsaw - Puskás Academy Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Legia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tobiasz K. (G) 8. Augustyniak R. 14. Colak A. 67. Kapustka B. (C) 77. Krasniqi E. 12. Pankov R. 91. Piatkowski K. 44. Szymanski D. 53. Urbanski W. 19. Vinagre R. 7. Wszolek P.	1. Szappanos P. (G) 10. Dardai P. 6. Duarte L. 7. Fameyeh J. 14. Golla W. (C) 21. Harutyunyan G. 66. Markgraf A. 90. Nemeth A. 16. Nissila U. 33. Ormonde-Ottewill B. 20. Soisalo M.
Substitutes
6. Arreiol H. 11. Chodyna K. 22. Elitim J. 55. Jedrzejczyk A. 27. Kobylak G. (G) . Kovacik S. 23. Kun P. 5. Leszczynski J. 29. Rajovic M. 13. Reca A. 30. Stojanovic P. 82. Urbanski K. 20. Zewlakow J.	77. Asvanyi D. 19. Favorov A. 74. Kern M. 8. Lukacs D. 23. Maceiras Q. 30. Magyar Z. 24. Markek T. (G) . Mondovics K. 25. Nagy Z. 22. Szolnoki R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Vinagre R. ↓, Stojanovic P. ↑,
39', 🟨,
42', 🟨,
42', 🟨,
44', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', 1 - 0, Urbanski K. ⚽,
60', Stojanovic P. ↓, Chodyna K. ↑,
63', 🟨,
84', 1 - 1, ⚽,
87', 🟨,

Preview

Neutral location.

Legia has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Puskas Academy's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Puskas Academy may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Legia will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Legia Warsaw
UEFA Europa Conference League
18.12.25	Legia Warsaw - Lincoln Red Imps	4:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
14.12.25	Legia Warsaw - Piast Gliwice	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
11.12.25	Noah Yerevan - Legia Warsaw	2:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
06.12.25	Piast Gliwice - Legia Warsaw	2:0 ✺
01.12.25	Motor Lublin - Legia Warsaw	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 WLLLT
- Puskás Academy
Club Friendly
09.01.26	Puskás Academy - Lommel	1:3 ✺
Hungarian NB I
20.12.25	Győri ETO - Puskás Academy	2:0 ✺
13.12.25	Puskás Academy - Diósgyőri	2:1 ✺
06.12.25	Debreceni - Puskás Academy	0:1 ✺
30.11.25	Puskás Academy - Ferencvárosi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLWWL

Upcoming Matches