Match Info
Ekstraklasa - Round 5Date: 22 August 2026, SaturdayLocation: Stadion Miejski w Gliwicach (Gliwice)Referee: Frankowski B. (Pol)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Austria | Laola1 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Canada | fubo Sports Network |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 7 |
 Germany | Laola1 |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV, TVP Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 8 |
 Usa | SportsEngine Play |
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Piast Gliwice |
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Legia Warsaw |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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3.60 |
3.40 |
1.95 |
 Watch |
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3.50 |
3.40 |
2.00 |
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3.30 |
3.35 |
2.05 |
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3.71 |
3.62 |
2.04 |
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3.62 |
3.56 |
2.04 |
Watch |
 |
3.80 |
3.70 |
1.91 |
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 |
3.71 |
3.50 |
2.01 |
Watch |
 |
3.45 |
3.35 |
2.03 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.59 ↑
(3.34) |
3.49 ↑
(3.15) |
2 ↓
(2.3) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Piast Gliwice
26.2% | Draw
26.9% | Legia Warsaw
46.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Piast Gliwice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)Legia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Legia Warsaw's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Piast Gliwice than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-4.7%)Predictions
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Legia will win (votes: 15 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Legia: 100% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Legia Warsaw will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
75.  Gril D. (G)
99.  Twumasi E.
5.  Juande
4.  Czerwinski J. (C)
3.  Fikaj E.
98.  Lokilo J.
27. Labojko J.
31. Lesniak O.
80. Vallejo H.
19.  Ntamack S.
11.  Sanca L.
| 89.  Hindrich O. (G)
91. Piatkowski K.
8. Augustyniak R.
5.  Deziel R.
6. Arreiol H.
22. Wszolek P.
23.  Sevcik M.
67. Kapustka B. (C)
19. Vinagre R.
79. Zjawinski L.
9. Adamski R.
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| Substitutes |
17. Boisgard Q.
28. Borowski F.
7. Felix J.
10.  Katsantonis A.
91. Kucharski M.
36. Lewicki J.
90. Lima I.
18. Maziarz O.
12. Mendes-Dudzinski M. (G)
77. Mucha S.
15. Pitan L.
| 24.  Arsenic Z.
1. Brkic I. (G)
11. Chodyna K.
7. Kuchta J.
97.  Mikanovich E.
77. Przybylko F.
29.  Rajovic M.
13. Reca A.
17. Szczepaniak M.
4. Szymanski D.
53. Urbanski W.
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| Coaches |
Mysliwiec D.
| Papszun M.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 7', 0 - 1, Zjawinski L. ⚽, Augustyniak R. (A),
- 42', Deziel R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 50', Juande 🟨,
- 56', Fikaj E. ↓, Lewicki J. ↑,
- 56', Lokilo J. ↓, Lima I. ↑,
- 56', Lesniak O. ↓, Boisgard Q. ↑,
- 57', Wszolek P. ↓, Reca A. ↑,
- 81', Sevcik M. ↓, Urbanski W. ↑,
- 81', Zjawinski L. ↓, Rajovic M. ↑,
- 82', Arreiol H. ↓, Szymanski D. ↑,
- 90', Ntamack S. ↓, Katsantonis A. ↑,
- 90', Vinagre R. ↓, Chodyna K. ↑,
- 90+5', 1 - 1, Sanca L. ⚽, Lima I. (A),
- 90+10', Lima I. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Piast won 4.Piast is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).Legia is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Piast may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Legia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.There will not play in Piast: Plach F.
(Knee Injury)There will not play in Legia: Stojanovic P.
(Tendon Injury)In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Piast won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:22. (average 1.3:1.1).Including home matches between the teams, Piast won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.3:1).
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Outrights of Polish Ekstraklasa for now
Legia: 14.3% Piast Gliwice: 0.86%
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 2 | Legia | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12:4 | 8 | 12 |
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| 5 | Piast Gliwice | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 10 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Legia Warsaw - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 41.34%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Polish Ekstraklasa | | | 14.12.25 | Legia Warsaw - Piast Gliwice | 0:1 | | 06.12.25 | Piast Gliwice - Legia Warsaw | 2:0 | | 08.02.25 | Piast Gliwice - Legia Warsaw | 1:0 | | 04.08.24 | Legia Warsaw - Piast Gliwice | 1:2 | | 17.03.24 | Legia Warsaw - Piast Gliwice | 3:1 | | 16.09.23 | Piast Gliwice - Legia Warsaw | 1:1 | | 19.02.23 | Piast Gliwice - Legia Warsaw | 0:1 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
