Match Info

Conference League - League phase - Round 6

Date: 18 December 2025, Thursday

Location: Stadion Wojska Polskiego (Warsaw)

Referee: Nikolic D. (Srb)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1
Chile	Disney+
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	RTL+
Greece	ANT 1+
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra 3
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
Russia	Okko Sport
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 15
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 9, Blue Sport 9
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 14
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	VIX App


	Legia Warsaw		Lincoln Red Imps

	1	X	2
	1.33	5.25	8.5
	1.32	5.4	7.9
	1.35	5.4	7.69
	1.35	5.48	7.69	Watch
	1.36	5	8
	1.36	5.39	8.9
	1.35	5	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↑ (1.31)	5.27 ↓ (5.72)	8.1 ↑ (7.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Legia Warsaw
70.4%

Draw
18%

Lincoln Red Imps
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.7%

16.4%

11.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Legia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Lincoln Red Imps has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	5.6%	50%

Legia Warsaw - Lincoln Red Imps Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Legia will win (votes: 7 - 41.2%). Lincoln Red Imps will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lincoln Red Imps: 29.2% – 76.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Legia (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Lincoln Red Imps (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Legia (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Lincoln Red Imps (2.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.25 - Lincoln Red Imps (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Legia (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Legia (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Lincoln Red Imps (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Kobylak G. (G) 30. Stojanovic P. 4. Burch M. 91. Piatkowski K. 13. Reca A. 67. Kapustka B. (C) 44. Szymanski D. 82. Urbanski K. 77. Krasniqi E. 14. Colak A. 20. Zewlakow J.	13. Hankins J. (G) 15. Munoz R. 23. Joe 6. Lopes B. (C) 21. Nano 18. Garcia T. 22. Torrilla G. 4. Pozo N. 24. Kolega T. 80. Dabo B. 10. De Barr T.
Substitutes
8. Augustyniak R. 50. Banasik W. (G) 21. Bichakhchyan V. 11. Chodyna K. 5. Goncalves C. 29. Rajovic M. 1. Tobiasz K. (G) 53. Urbanski W. 19. Vinagre R. 99. Weisshaupt N.	5. Ayew I. 7. Casciaro L. 29. Chipolina L. 19. Clinton K. 99. El Ghobashy A. 9. Gomez K. 11. Juanje 1. Nauzet Santana (G) 71. Peacock J. 3. Rutjens C. 2. Toscano J.
Coaches
Astiz I.	Bezares J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Colak A. ⚽, Kapustka B. (A),
29', Urbanski K. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
57', Krasniqi E. ↓, Bichakhchyan V. ↑,
62', 2 - 0, Kapustka B. ⚽, Urbanski K. (A),
63', Munoz R. ↓, Gomez K. ↑,
63', Dabo B. ↓, Juanje ↑,
68', Colak A. ↓, Rajovic M. ↑,
68', Reca A. ↓, Vinagre R. ↑,
70', 3 - 0, Rajovic M. ⚽, Zewlakow J. (A),
71', Torrilla G. ↓, El Ghobashy A. ↑,
76', Zewlakow J. ↓, Weisshaupt N. ↑,
76', Urbanski K. ↓, Goncalves C. ↑,
81', Kolega T. ↓, Casciaro L. ↑,
81', Joe ↓, Toscano J. ↑,
82', El Ghobashy A. 🟨,
83', 4 - 0, Bichakhchyan V. ⚽,
89', 4 - 1, De Barr T. ⚽, Juanje (A),

Preview

Legia is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Legia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Legia is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Legia: Elitim J. (Injury) Jedrzejczyk A. (Knee Injury) Kapuadi S. (International duty) Nsame J. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Pankov R. (Injury)

There will not play in Lincoln Red Imps: Britto E. (Knee Injury) Mandi (Yellow Cards) Villacanas V. (Injury)

There are questionable in Lincoln Red Imps: Garcia T. (Injury) Rutjens C. (Injury)

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Legia Warsaw
Polish Ekstraklasa
14.12.25	Legia Warsaw - Piast Gliwice	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
11.12.25	Noah Yerevan - Legia Warsaw	2:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
06.12.25	Piast Gliwice - Legia Warsaw	2:0 ✺
01.12.25	Motor Lublin - Legia Warsaw	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.11.25	Legia Warsaw - Sparta Prague	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL
- Lincoln Red Imps FC
UEFA Europa Conference League
11.12.25	Lincoln Red Imps - Sigma Olomouc	2:1 ✺
27.11.25	Hamrun Spartans - Lincoln Red Imps	3:1 ✺
06.11.25	Lincoln Red Imps - Rijeka	1:1 ✺
23.10.25	Lincoln Red Imps - Lech Poznań	2:1 ✺
02.10.25	Zrinjski Mostar - Lincoln Red Imps	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 37.7 WLTWL

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