Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 2

Date: 2 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadion Wojska Polskiego (Warsaw)

Referee: Arys K. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	FOX Sports 2
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Croatia	Arena Sport 1
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
Ukraine	Sport 2
Usa	SportsEngine Play
International	Sport 2 Baltic


	Legia Warsaw		Zagłębie Lubin

	1	X	2
	1.50	3.90	5.50	Watch
	1.58	3.90	5.50
	1.58	3.85	5.40
	1.59	4.19	6.11
	1.61	4.04	5.61	Watch
	1.54	4.10	6.00
	1.54	3.98	5.80	Watch
	1.56	3.95	5.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.43)	3.99 ↑ (3.68)	5.67 ↓ (6.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Legia Warsaw
60%

Draw
23.5%

Zagłębie Lubin
16.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

62%

24.1%

13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.1%

23.3%

13.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Legia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Zagłębie Lubin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zagłębie Lubin than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	8.3%	4.2%

Legia Warsaw - Zagłębie Lubin Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Legia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Legia (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Legia Warsaw will win (21 of 24 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.27% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Legia (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
89. Hindrich O. (G) 91. Piatkowski K. 8. Augustyniak R. 5. Deziel R. 4. Szymanski D. 22. Wszolek P. 53. Urbanski W. 67. Kapustka B. (C) 19. Vinagre R. 29. Rajovic M. 79. Zjawinski L.	1. Buric J. (G) 16. Corluka J. 5. Lawniczak A. 25. Nalepa M. (C) 4. Michalski D. 6. Colina D. 44. Regula M. 26. Kolan J. 39. Kocaba F. 37. Kerk S. 17. Szabo L.
Substitutes
9. Adamski R. 6. Arreiol H. 24. Arsenic Z. 21. Bichakhchyan V. 59. Bienduga J. (G) 11. Chodyna K. 99. Kovacik S. 13. Reca A. 23. Sevcik M. 20. Zewlakow J.	8. Dabrowski D. 20. Dziewiatowski M. 38. Karasinski S. 9. Kosidis M. 19. Lyczko S. 88. Mlinaric M. 95. Nowak F. (G) 71. Nowogonski K. 31. Orlikowski I. 18. Szymczak F. 94. Urbanski M. 11. Wozniak A.
Coaches
Papszun M.	Ojrzynski L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Kocaba F. ⚽,
25', 1 - 1, Zjawinski L. ⚽, Wszolek P. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Kolan J. ↓, Dabrowski D. ↑,
46', Szabo L. ↓, Szymczak F. ↑,
58', Urbanski W. ↓, Bichakhchyan V. ↑,
69', Rajovic M. ↓, Adamski R. ↑,
69', Szymanski D. ↓, Zewlakow J. ↑,
72', 2 - 1, Vinagre R. ⚽,
73', Kerk S. ↓, Nowogonski K. ↑,
81', Deziel R. ↓, Reca A. ↑,
81', Zjawinski L. ↓, Arreiol H. ↑,
83', Kocaba F. ↓, Dziewiatowski M. ↑,
83', Regula M. ↓, Lyczko S. ↑,
90+1', 3 - 1, Adamski R. ⚽, Bichakhchyan V. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Legia won 4.

Legia is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Zagłębie Lubin's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Zagłębie Lubin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

In this match, Legia is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Legia: Colak A. (Face Injury) Stojanovic P. (Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Zagłębie Lubin: Hladun D. (Shoulder Injury) Yakuba R. (Injury)

We predict that Legia will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Legia won 15 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 40:18. (average 2:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Legia won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:9. (average 1.7:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Legia	11	6	5	0	22:9	13	23
7	Zaglebie	11	5	3	3	13:13	0	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Legia Warsaw
Polish Ekstraklasa
24.07.26	Pogoń Szczecin - Legia Warsaw	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.26	Legia Warsaw - Aris Limassol	0:2 ✺
18.07.26	Legia Warsaw - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	2:1 ✺
14.07.26	Legia Warsaw - Radomiak Radom	3:1 ✺
10.07.26	Legia Warsaw - Trenčín	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLWWW
- Zagłębie Lubin
Polish Ekstraklasa
27.07.26	Zagłębie Lubin - Piast Gliwice	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.26	Zagłębie Lubin - Chrobry Głogów	3:0 ✺
17.07.26	Zagłębie Lubin - Bohemians 1905	0:2 ✺
08.07.26	Zagłębie Lubin - Baník Ostrava	0:2 ✺
04.07.26	Zagłębie Lubin - Pogoń Szczecin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
17.04.26	Legia Warsaw - Zagłębie Lubin	1:0
19.10.25	Zagłębie Lubin - Legia Warsaw	3:1
08.12.24	Zagłębie Lubin - Legia Warsaw	0:3
20.07.24	Legia Warsaw - Zagłębie Lubin	2:0
25.05.24	Legia Warsaw - Zagłębie Lubin	2:1
03.12.23	Zagłębie Lubin - Legia Warsaw	0:3
04.02.23	Zagłębie Lubin - Legia Warsaw	1:2

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