Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 16 January 2026, Friday


	Legia Warsaw		Sigma Olomouc

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.25	3.3	2.88	Watch
	1.97	3.41	3.64	Watch
	2.2	3	3
	2.29	3.36	3	Watch
	2.1	3.4	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (3.15)	3.29 ↓ (3.51)	3.17 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Legia Warsaw
42.8%

Draw
28.1%

Sigma Olomouc
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

26.4%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

25.8%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Legia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Legia Warsaw's performance.

Sigma Olomouc has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sigma Olomouc might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-12.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Legia Warsaw that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sigma Olomouc than the current prediction. (+14%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sigma Olomouc could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Legia Warsaw - Sigma Olomouc Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tobiasz K. (G) 21. Bichakhchyan V. 22. Elitim J. 3. Kapuadi S. 12. Pankov R. 91. Piatkowski K. 29. Rajovic M. 13. Reca A. 44. Szymanski D. 82. Urbanski K. 7. Wszolek P. (C)	29. Stoppen T. (G) 47. Beran M. 4. Elbel J. 70. Ghali A. 22. Hadas M. 5. Huk T. 8. Jezierski J. (C) 9. Kliment J. 75. Michez S. 6. Sip J. 2. Sylla A.
Substitutes
. Arreiol H. . Augustyniak R. . Chodyna K. . Colak A. . Hindrich O. (G) . Jedrzejczyk A. . Kapustka B. . Kovacik S. . Krasniqi E. . Kun P. . Leszczynski J. . Stojanovic P. . Urbanski W.	. Barath P. . Dolznikov A. . Hruska M. (G) . Janosek D. . Kostadinov T. . Kral J. . Langer S. . Maly M. . Rusek A. . Slama J. . Slavicek F. . Sturm D. . Yasser M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
39', Michez S. 🟨,
44', 1 - 0, Urbanski K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Rajovic M. ↓, Arreiol H. ↑,
46', Piatkowski K. ↓, Augustyniak R. ↑,
46', Pankov R. ↓, Stojanovic P. ↑,
46', Kapuadi S. ↓, Kun P. ↑,
46', Elitim J. ↓, Jedrzejczyk A. ↑,
46', Bichakhchyan V. ↓, Leszczynski J. ↑,
46', Tobiasz K. ↓, Hindrich O. ↑,
51', Augustyniak R. 🟨,
52', Stojanovic P. 🟨,
74', Jedrzejczyk A. 🟨,
77', Krasniqi E. 🟥,
79', Krasniqi E. ↓, Kovacik S. ↑,
88', Barath P. 🟨,

Preview

Legia is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Sigma has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Legia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Sigma will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Sigma Olomouc - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 44.17%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Legia Warsaw
Club Friendly
12.01.26	Legia Warsaw - Puskás Academy	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
18.12.25	Legia Warsaw - Lincoln Red Imps	4:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
14.12.25	Legia Warsaw - Piast Gliwice	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
11.12.25	Noah Yerevan - Legia Warsaw	2:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
06.12.25	Piast Gliwice - Legia Warsaw	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 TWLLL
- Sigma Olomouc
Club Friendly
10.01.26	Sigma Olomouc - Piast Gliwice	2:0 ✺
07.01.26	Sigma Olomouc - Polonia Bytom	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
18.12.25	Sigma Olomouc - Lech Poznań	1:2 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
14.12.25	Zlín - Sigma Olomouc	5:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
11.12.25	Lincoln Red Imps - Sigma Olomouc	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWLLL

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