Match Info

Polish Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 October 2025, Tuesday

Location: Stadion ŁKS (Lodz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	TVP Sport app, TVP Sport


	ŁKS Łódź		GKS Katowice

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.62	3.4	2.48	Watch
	2.70	3.45	2.41	Watch
	2.55	3.3	2.42	Watch
	2.74	3.35	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↓ (2.91)	3.38 ↑ (3.29)	2.41 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ŁKS Łódź
34.7%

Draw
27.2%

GKS Katowice
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

27.2%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

27.2%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ŁKS Łódź has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

GKS Katowice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ŁKS Łódź than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for GKS Katowice than the current prediction. (+4%)

ŁKS Łódź - GKS Katowice Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. GKS Katowice (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Jakubowski L. (G) 6. Rudol S. 22. Craciun A. 21. Kupczak M. (C) 19. Krykun S. 10. Ernst S. 20. Wysokinski M. 80. Toma B. 11. Norlin G. 90. Lewandowski M. 99. Piasecki F.	12. Straczek R. (G) 2. Kuusk M. 4. Jedrych A. (C) 19. Lukasiak K. 23. Wasielewski M. 77. Kowalczyk M. 14. Lukowski J. 16. Rogala G. 10. Wedrychowski M. 27. Nowak B. 80. Shkurin I.
Substitutes
9. Arasa A. 7. Balic H. 1. Bobek A. (G) 37. Glowacki P. 8. Hinokio K. 31. Jurkiewicz A. 2. Loffelsend J. 29. Rozwandowicz M. 30. Szczepanski M.	11. Blad A. 5. Bosch J. 8. Galan B. 13. Jaroszek B. 6. Klemenz L. 21. Kokosinski J. 15. Markovic E. 20. Rejczyk F. 33. Szczuka P. (G)
Coaches
Grabowski S.	Gorak R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Jedrych A. (Pen),
35', Piasecki F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', Kowalczyk M. 🟨,
61', 0 - 2, Shkurin I. ⚽, Nowak B. (A),
64', Wasielewski M. ↓, Galan B. ↑,
64', Kowalczyk M. ↓, Bosch J. ↑,
64', Wedrychowski M. ↓, Blad A. ↑,
65', Toma B. ↓, Szczepanski M. ↑,
65', Norlin G. ↓, Glowacki P. ↑,
76', Krykun S. ↓, Jurkiewicz A. ↑,
76', Piasecki F. ↓, Balic H. ↑,
79', Nowak B. ↓, Klemenz L. ↑,
83', Lukasiak K. ↓, Rejczyk F. ↑,
84', 1 - 2, Jedrych A. (Own goal),
87', Lewandowski M. ↓, Arasa A. ↑,
90', Arasa A. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ŁKS won 3.

Recent performances by ŁKS have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

GKS Katowice is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, ŁKS won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, ŁKS won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.4:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

GKS Katowice - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 42.14%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ŁKS Łódź
Polish Division 1
25.10.25	Pogoń Siedlce - ŁKS Łódź	3:1 ✺
18.10.25	Stal Rzeszów - ŁKS Łódź	1:4 ✺
05.10.25	ŁKS Łódź - GKS Tychy	3:1 ✺
29.09.25	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - ŁKS Łódź	3:0 ✺
Polish Cup
25.09.25	ŁKS Łódź - Chrobry Głogów	5:3 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWWLW
- GKS Katowice
Polish Ekstraklasa
25.10.25	GKS Katowice - Korona Kielce	1:0 ✺
17.10.25	Motor Lublin - GKS Katowice	2:5 ✺
05.10.25	GKS Katowice - Lech Poznań	0:1 ✺
26.09.25	Wisła Płock - GKS Katowice	1:1 ✺
Polish Cup
23.09.25	GKS Katowice - Wisła Płock	4:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
05.07.23	ŁKS Łódź - GKS Katowice	1:0
Polish Division 1
11.11.22	GKS Katowice - ŁKS Łódź	1:5
16.07.22	ŁKS Łódź - GKS Katowice	0:2
22.05.22	GKS Katowice - ŁKS Łódź	2:0
13.11.21	ŁKS Łódź - GKS Katowice	1:0
28.11.18	GKS Katowice - ŁKS Łódź	1:1
28.07.18	ŁKS Łódź - GKS Katowice	0:1

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