Match Info

POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP I - ROUND 16

Date: 11 November 2023, Saturday


	Legionovia Legionowo		Pelikan Łowicz

	1	X	2
	3	3.5	1.98
				Watch
	3.03	3.54	2
	3.03	3.54	2.01
	3.06	3.64	2	Watch
	2.74	3.55	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↑ (2.67)	3.55 (3.55)	2.03 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Legionovia Legionowo
30.3%

Draw
25.3%

Pelikan Łowicz
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

25.4%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

24.7%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Legionovia Legionowo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Pelikan Łowicz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legionovia Legionowo than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pelikan Łowicz than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Legionovia Legionowo - Pelikan Łowicz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Legionowo won 4.

Legionowo is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pelikan is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Pelikan will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Legionowo won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 19-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Legionowo won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KS Legionovia Legionowo
Polish Division 3 - Group I
04.11.23	Legia II - Legionovia Legionowo	2:1 ✺
28.10.23	Legionovia Legionowo - Olimpia Zambrów	0:0 ✺
22.10.23	GKS Bełchatów - Legionovia Legionowo	6:0 ✺
18.10.23	Legionovia Legionowo - Jagiellonia II Białystok	4:2 ✺
07.10.23	Legionovia Legionowo - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LTLWL
- Pelikan Łowicz
Polish Division 3 - Group I
05.11.23	Pelikan Łowicz - Wikielec	1:1 ✺
28.10.23	Warta Sieradz - Pelikan Łowicz	2:0 ✺
22.10.23	Pelikan Łowicz - Victoria Sulejówek	2:0 ✺
14.10.23	ŁKS Łomża - Pelikan Łowicz	0:2 ✺
08.10.23	Pelikan Łowicz - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
30.04.23	Pelikan Łowicz - Legionovia Legionowo	1:1
24.09.22	Legionovia Legionowo - Pelikan Łowicz	4:1
11.05.22	Legionovia Legionowo - Pelikan Łowicz	3:1
10.10.21	Pelikan Łowicz - Legionovia Legionowo	1:2
21.03.21	Pelikan Łowicz - Legionovia Legionowo	1:2
19.05.19	Legionovia Legionowo - Pelikan Łowicz	2:1
07.10.18	Pelikan Łowicz - Legionovia Legionowo	3:3

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