Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group A - Round 37

Date: 20 April 2024, Saturday


	Legnago Salus		Alessandria

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.61	3.5	4.75
	1.66	3.6	5
	1.69	3.65	4.95
	1.7	3.65	4.95
	1.53	3.6	5.5
	1.66	3.5	5.19
	1.66	3.6	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.47)	3.59 ↓ (3.77)	4.99 ↓ (7.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Legnago Salus
55.9%

Draw
25.6%

Alessandria
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.8%

24.5%

12.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.7%

23.4%

12.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Legnago Salus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Legnago Salus's form might have worsened.

Alessandria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alessandria's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legnago Salus than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Legnago Salus, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alessandria than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alessandria, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Legnago Salus - Alessandria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fortin M. (G) 7. Baradji M. 29. Buric N. 77. Martic M. 13. Motoc A. 23. Muteba V. 6. Pelagatti C. 10. Rocco D. (C) 21. Ruggeri G. 8. van Ransbeeck K. 5. Viero F.	1. Farroni A. (G) 31. Busatto T. 23. Ciancio S. (C) 17. Gega E. 24. Mastalli A. 4. Nichetti M. 14. Pellitteri A. 3. Rossi E. 99. Samele L. 66. Sepe A. 6. Soler I.
Substitutes
. Banse 24. Boci B. 12. Businarolo M. (G) 19. Diaby A. 36. Franzolini A. 2. Hadaji A. 3. Mazzali S. 90. Mbakogu J. 26. Noce M. 18. Sambou B. 9. Svidercoschi S. . Tonica D. 22. Tosi R. (G) 14. Travaglini M. 32. Zanandrea G.	22. Barmaz Y. (G) . Colletta G. 5. Cusumano F. 20. Femia N. 28. Foresta G. 29. Laukzemis K. . Laureana A. 26. Mame Ass N. 53. Molinaro S. . Muratore M. 21. Nunzella L. 16. Parrinello T. 18. Pellegrini L. 33. Spurio A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Soler I. 🟨,
27', Muteba V. 🟨,
34', Ciancio S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
65', Muteba V. ↓, Hadaji A. ↑,
65', Viero F. ↓, Svidercoschi S. ↑,
65', Rocco D. ↓, Mbakogu J. ↑,
72', Buric N. ↓, Franzolini A. ↑,
74', Rossi E. ↓, Pellegrini L. ↑,
83', Sepe A. ↓, Foresta G. ↑,
83', Samele L. ↓, Laukzemis K. ↑,
90+1', Mastalli A. ↓, Molinaro S. ↑,
90+2', Busatto T. ↓, Cusumano F. ↑,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Legnago Salus is Qualified for Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs

Alessandria is Relegated to

Recent matches Legnago Salus is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Alessandria has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Legnago Salus is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Legnago Salus won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Legnago Salus
Italian Serie C Group A
13.04.24	Novara - Legnago Salus	2:0 ✺
06.04.24	Legnago Salus - Pro Sesto	2:2 ✺
30.03.24	Pro Patria - Legnago Salus	1:1 ✺
23.03.24	Vicenza Virtus - Legnago Salus	1:1 ✺
16.03.24	Legnago Salus - Lumezzane	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LTTTW
- Alessandria 1912
Italian Serie C Group A
13.04.24	Alessandria - Pro Patria	1:2 ✺
06.04.24	Fiorenzuola - Alessandria	2:0 ✺
30.03.24	Alessandria - Pro Vercelli	1:1 ✺
26.03.24	Triestina - Alessandria	3:1 ✺
23.03.24	Giana Erminio - Alessandria	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
17.12.23	Alessandria - Legnago Salus	0:0

Legnago Salus - Alessandria: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide