Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group A - Round 36

Date: 13 April 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Alessandria		Pro Patria

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.7	2.87	2
	3.75	2.95	2.1	Watch
	3.86	2.94	2.15
	3.86	2.94	2.15
	3.8	3	1.95
	3.78	2.98	2.08
	3.85	2.95	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.8 ↑ (3.12)	2.95 ↓ (3.05)	2.06 ↓ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alessandria
24.2%

Draw
31.2%

Pro Patria
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.6%

30.3%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

31%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alessandria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alessandria's form might have worsened.

Pro Patria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alessandria than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pro Patria than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Alessandria - Pro Patria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Spurio A. (G) 23. Ciancio S. 8. Rota A. 17. Gega E. 3. Rossi E. 66. Sepe A. 4. Nichetti M. 14. Pellitteri A. 24. Mastalli A. 9. Siafa O. 99. Samele L.	1. Rovida W. (G) 4. Saporetti L. 21. Minelli A. 6. Moretti A. 27. Renault C. 25. Ferri D. 10. Nicco G. 3. Ndrecka A. 17. Citterio G. 7. Stanzani L. 30. Castelli D.
Substitutes
22. Barmaz Y. (G) 31. Busatto T. 5. Cusumano F. 80. De Ponti O. 1. Farroni A. (G) 20. Femia N. 32. Fiumano F. 28. Foresta G. 7. Gazoul M. 29. Laukzemis K. 26. Mame Ass N. 79. Mangni D. 21. Nunzella L. 18. Pellegrini L. 6. Soler I.	5. Bashi E. 14. Bertoni L. 69. Curatolo D. 33. Ferrario 16. Fietta G. 23. Ghioldi F. 12. Mangano G. (G) 8. Marano F. 9. Parker S. 18. Piran L. . Renault G. 28. Somma M. 2. Vaghi S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Castelli D. ⚽,
15', 1 - 1, Mastalli A. ⚽,
25', 1 - 2, Castelli D. ⚽,
32', Siafa O. 🟨,
35', Rossi E. ↓, Nunzella L. ↑,
39', Saporetti L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Sepe A. ↓, Pellegrini L. ↑,
61', Samele L. ↓, Gazoul M. ↑,
61', Siafa O. ↓, Laukzemis K. ↑,
62', Renault C. ↓, Renault G. ↑,
63', Saporetti L. 🟨,
64', Citterio G. ↓, Fietta G. ↑,
76', Castelli D. ↓, Marano F. ↑,
76', Stanzani L. ↓, Bertoni L. ↑,
82', Nichetti M. ↓, De Ponti O. ↑,
85', Ciancio S. 🟨,
90+2', Rovida W. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Alessandria is Relegated to

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alessandria won 2.

Alessandria has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Pro Patria is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pro Patria will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Alessandria won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Alessandria won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alessandria 1912
Italian Serie C Group A
06.04.24	Fiorenzuola - Alessandria	2:0 ✺
30.03.24	Alessandria - Pro Vercelli	1:1 ✺
26.03.24	Triestina - Alessandria	3:1 ✺
23.03.24	Giana Erminio - Alessandria	3:0 ✺
17.03.24	Alessandria - Renate	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LTLLL
- Aurora Pro Patria 1919
Italian Serie C Group A
07.04.24	Atalanta U23 - Pro Patria	4:1 ✺
30.03.24	Pro Patria - Legnago Salus	1:1 ✺
23.03.24	Fiorenzuola - Pro Patria	3:1 ✺
16.03.24	Pro Patria - Vicenza Virtus	0:1 ✺
09.03.24	Lumezzane - Pro Patria	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
08.12.23	Pro Patria - Alessandria	1:1
Coppa Italia Serie C
02.11.22	Pro Patria - Alessandria	1:2 ET
Club Friendly
31.07.21	Alessandria - Pro Patria	1:0
Italian Serie C Group A
02.05.21	Alessandria - Pro Patria	0:1
16.01.21	Pro Patria - Alessandria	0:0
10.11.19	Pro Patria - Alessandria	0:0
18.04.19	Alessandria - Pro Patria	1:2

Alessandria - Pro Patria: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide