Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group A - Round 36

Date: 13 April 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Novara		Legnago Salus

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.75	3.2	4.1
	1.8	3.3	4.5
	1.83	3.32	4.57
	1.83	3.32	4.57
	1.75	3.25	4.33
	1.8	3.32	4.43
	1.8	3.3	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (2.7)	3.29 ↑ (2.77)	4.37 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Novara
51.1%

Draw
27.9%

Legnago Salus
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

32.4%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

33.7%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Novara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Novara's performance.

Legnago Salus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Legnago Salus might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Novara than the current prediction. (-16.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Novara that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legnago Salus than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Legnago Salus could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Novara - Legnago Salus Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Novara will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Minelli S. (G) 26. Boccia S. 35. Lorenzini F. 15. Khailoti O. 16. Calcagni R. 21. Ranieri R. (C) 8. Di Munno A. 3. Urso O. 7. Gerardini F. 18. Bentivegna A. 13. Ongaro E.	1. Fortin M. (G) 4. Sbampato E. 13. Motoc A. 26. Noce M. 11. Zanetti L. 19. Diaby A. 7. Baradji M. 24. Boci B. 8. van Ransbeeck K. 10. Rocco D. (C) 9. Svidercoschi S.
Substitutes
5. Bonaccorsi S. 28. Cannavaro A. 29. Caravaca T. 11. Corti N. 31. Desjardins A. (G) 22. Menegaldo T. (G) 30. Migliardi F. 32. Ngamba A. 14. Schiro T. 77. Vilhjalmsson A.	29. Buric N. 25. Casarotti E. 36. Franzolini A. 20. Giani E. 2. Hadaji A. 3. Mazzali S. 90. Mbakogu J. 23. Muteba V. 6. Pelagatti C. 21. Ruggeri G. 18. Sambou B. 22. Tosi R. (G) 14. Travaglini M. 5. Viero F. 32. Zanandrea G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', Zanetti L. ↓, Muteba V. ↑,
38', 1 - 0, Khailoti O. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Svidercoschi S. ↓, Mbakogu J. ↑,
46', Diaby A. ↓, Giani E. ↑,
54', van Ransbeeck K. 🟨,
64', Bentivegna A. 🟨,
65', Rocco D. ↓, Buric N. ↑,
70', Giani E. 🟨,
72', Bentivegna A. ↓, Bonaccorsi S. ↑,
75', Baradji M. 🟨,
78', Sbampato E. 🟨,
80', Sbampato E. ↓, Sambou B. ↑,
82', 2 - 0, Urso O. ⚽,
86', Ranieri R. ↓, Schiro T. ↑,
86', Gerardini F. ↓, Caravaca T. ↑,
90+2', Calcagni R. ↓, Ngamba A. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).

Legnago Salus is Qualified for Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs

Recent matches Novara is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Legnago Salus is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Novara will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Novara won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Novara Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
07.04.24	Vicenza Virtus - Novara	2:1 ✺
30.03.24	Novara - Lumezzane	1:1 ✺
24.03.24	Pergolettese - Novara	1:1 ✺
16.03.24	Novara - Pro Vercelli	2:2 ✺
10.03.24	AlbinoLeffe - Novara	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LTTTT
- FC Legnago Salus
Italian Serie C Group A
06.04.24	Legnago Salus - Pro Sesto	2:2 ✺
30.03.24	Pro Patria - Legnago Salus	1:1 ✺
23.03.24	Vicenza Virtus - Legnago Salus	1:1 ✺
16.03.24	Legnago Salus - Lumezzane	2:1 ✺
09.03.24	Pro Vercelli - Legnago Salus	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 TTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
08.12.23	Legnago Salus - Novara	1:1

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