Match Info

Date: 5 December 2020, Saturday


	Legnago Salus		Cesena

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.9	2.6
	2.5	2.8	2.8
	2.55	2.9	2.7
	2.55	2.75	2.75
	2.66	2.96	2.89
	2.55	2.9	2.88
	2.58	2.88	2.88	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.35)	2.87 ↓ (2.9)	2.79 ↓ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Legnago Salus
35.5%

Draw
31.7%

Cesena
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

31.1%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7%

22.4%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Legnago Salus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Cesena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legnago Salus than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Legnago Salus that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cesena could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Legnago Salus - Cesena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 11).

Recent matches Legnago Salus is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Cesena is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cesena could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Legnago Salus
Italian Serie C Group B
29.11.20	Sambenedettese - Legnago Salus	1:1 ✺
11.11.20	Legnago Salus - Matelica	1:2 ✺
07.11.20	Carpi - Legnago Salus	0:0 ✺
01.11.20	Legnago Salus - FeralpiSalò	1:1 ✺
25.10.20	Gubbio - Legnago Salus	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TLTTT
- AC Cesena
Italian Serie C Group B
29.11.20	Cesena - Modena	0:0 ✺
22.11.20	Matelica - Cesena	2:2 ✺
15.11.20	Cesena - Ravenna	4:0 ✺
11.11.20	Vis Pesaro - Cesena	0:2 ✺
07.11.20	Cesena - Fermana	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TTWWT

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