Match Info

Serie B - Round 14

Date: 28 November 2025, Friday

Location: Stadio Dino Manuzzi (Cesena)

Referee: Calzavara A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Cesena		Modena

	1	X	2
	3.05	2.82	2.5	Watch
	3	2.88	2.45	Watch
	3.21	3	2.69
	2.66	3.20	2.61	Watch
	3.16	2.94	2.6	Watch
	3.2	2.9	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↑ (2.67)	2.96 ↓ (3.08)	2.55 ↓ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cesena
31%

Draw
31.9%

Modena
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

30.1%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

29.7%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cesena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Modena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Modena than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	63.6%	18.2%

Cesena - Modena Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Cesena will win (votes: 4 - 19%). Modena will win (votes: 4 - 19%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 61.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 41.1% – 82.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Cesena (votes: 3 - 30%). Tie (votes: 7 - 70%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Cesena (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Modena (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Cesena (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Modena (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Tie (votes: 7 - 58.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Klinsmann J. (G) 15. Ciofi A. (C) 19. Zaro G. 24. Mangraviti M. 11. Ciervo R. 14. Berti T. 4. Castagnetti M. 70. Francesconi M. 99. Frabotta G. 7. Blesa J. 9. Shpendi C.	1. Chichizola L. (G) 77. Tonoli D. 28. Adorni D. 20. Nieling B. 98. Zanimacchia L. 5. Sersanti A. 8. Santoro S. (C) 16. Gerli F. 7. Zampano F. 92. Defrel G. 9. Gliozzi E.
Substitutes
17. Adamo E. 16. Amoran P. 6. Arrigoni T. 29. Balde S. 10. Bastoni S. 43. Bertaccini F. 13. Celia R. 40. Ferretti L. (G) 18. Guidi M. 23. Magni V. 32. Olivieri M. 1. Siano A. (G)	78. Bagheria F. (G) 2. Beyuku G. 10. Caso G. 33. Cauz C. 6. Magnino L. 17. Massolin Y. 11. Mendes P. 19. Nador S. 4. Pergreffi A. 22. Pezzolato M. (G) 3. Ponsi F. 18. Pyyhtia N.
Coaches
Mignani M.	Sottil A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', Gliozzi E. (Pen),
32', Mangraviti M. 🟨,
43', 1 - 0, Blesa J. ⚽, Klinsmann J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Defrel G. ↓, Massolin Y. ↑,
55', Sersanti A. ↓, Pyyhtia N. ↑,
62', Blesa J. ↓, Olivieri M. ↑,
74', Gliozzi E. ↓, Mendes P. ↑,
74', Zanimacchia L. ↓, Caso G. ↑,
74', Santoro S. ↓, Beyuku G. ↑,
79', Berti T. ↓, Adamo E. ↑,
79', Shpendi C. ↓, Bastoni S. ↑,
89', Nieling B. 🟨,
90', Castagnetti M. ↓, Guidi M. ↑,
90', Ciervo R. ↓, Balde S. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cesena won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Modena: Cauz C. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Cesena: Bisoli D. (Inactive)

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Cesena won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 0.7:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Cesena won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.1:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Cesena
Italian Serie B
23.11.25	Monza - Cesena	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Cesena - Avellino	3:0 ✺
02.11.25	Bari - Cesena	1:0 ✺
28.10.25	Cesena - Carrarese	2:1 ✺
25.10.25	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Cesena	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWLWW
- FC Modena
Italian Serie B
23.11.25	Modena - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:0 ✺
08.11.25	Frosinone - Modena	2:2 ✺
02.11.25	Modena - Juve Stabia	3:0 ✺
28.10.25	Reggiana - Modena	1:0 ✺
24.10.25	Modena - Empoli	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
13.05.25	Modena - Cesena	0:1
13.09.24	Cesena - Modena	2:2
Italian Serie C Group B
07.02.22	Modena - Cesena	1:0
28.09.21	Cesena - Modena	1:2
21.03.21	Modena - Cesena	1:0
29.11.20	Cesena - Modena	0:0
24.11.19	Cesena - Modena	1:0

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