Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 32

Date: 17 March 2024, Sunday


	Vis Pesaro		Cesena

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.75	3.8	1.49
	6.5	3.75	1.52
	6.73	3.99	1.52
	6.73	3.99	1.52
	7	3.7	1.44
	7.23	3.6	1.47
	6.2	3.8	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.59 ↑ (4.33)	3.8 ↑ (3.2)	1.49 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vis Pesaro
14%

Draw
24.2%

Cesena
61.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.7%

28%

51.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20%

27.1%

53%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vis Pesaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vis Pesaro's form might have worsened.

Cesena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cesena's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vis Pesaro than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vis Pesaro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cesena, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Vis Pesaro - Cesena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Neri F. (G) 5. Tonucci D. 4. Zagnoni D. 13. Neri G. M. 25. Mattioli A. 39. Iervolino A. 38. Rossetti M. 19. Afonso Peixoto 10. Di Paola M. 9. Nicastro F. 7. Pucciarelli M.	1. Pisseri M. (G) 26. Piacentini M. 19. Prestia G. 28. Silvestri L. 24. Pierozzi E. 70. Francesconi M. 20. De Rose F. 17. Adamo E. 14. Berti T. 10. Kargbo A. 9. Shpendi C.
Substitutes
34. Bastianelli R. 80. Da Pozzo L. 60. Gulli M. 20. Karlsson O. 99. Kemayou N. 23. Loru L. 30. Mamona B. 12. Mariani M. (G) 32. Molina J. I. 8. Nina C. 26. Pierluigi F. 22. Polverino E. (G) 37. Valdifiori M.	42. Campedelli R. 4. Chiarello R. 15. Ciofi A. 13. Coccolo L. 18. Corazza S. 7. Donnarumma D. 33. Klinsmann J. (G) 11. Ogunseye R. 73. Pieraccini S. 61. Siano A. (G) 5. Varone I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', Berti T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Piacentini M. ↓, Ciofi A. ↑,
56', Iervolino A. ↓, Valdifiori M. ↑,
65', 🟨,
66', Neri G. M. 🟨,
68', Berti T. ↓, Varone I. ↑,
68', Pierozzi E. ↓, David A. ↑,
71', 🟨,
73', Nicastro F. ↓, Karlsson O. ↑,
76', Rossetti M. 🟨,
78', Tonucci D. 🟨,
81', Kargbo A. ↓, Ogunseye R. ↑,
85', Afonso Peixoto ↓, Mamona B. ↑,
85', De Rose F. ↓, Chiarello R. ↑,
89', Ogunseye R. 🟨,
90+5', Valdifiori M. 🟨,
90+5', Ogunseye R. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vis Pesaro won 0.

Vis Pesaro is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cesena is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Cesena is certain favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Vis Pesaro won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 9-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Vis Pesaro won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SSD Vis Pesaro 1898
Italian Serie C Group B
10.03.24	Arezzo - Vis Pesaro	2:1 ✺
05.03.24	Pineto - Vis Pesaro	1:1 ✺
02.03.24	Vis Pesaro - Pontedera	0:1 ✺
24.02.24	Recanatese - Vis Pesaro	1:0 ✺
18.02.24	Vis Pesaro - Pescara	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LTLLW
- AC Cesena
Italian Serie C Group B
11.03.24	Cesena - Gubbio	2:0 ✺
05.03.24	Carrarese - Cesena	3:2 ✺
01.03.24	Cesena - Virtus Entella	4:0 ✺
25.02.24	Cesena - Pineto	2:0 ✺
19.02.24	Sestri Levante - Cesena	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
12.11.23	Cesena - Vis Pesaro	4:0
Coppa Italia Serie C
08.11.23	Cesena - Vis Pesaro	1:0
Italian Serie C Group B
15.04.23	Cesena - Vis Pesaro	2:0
10.12.22	Vis Pesaro - Cesena	1:2
20.02.22	Cesena - Vis Pesaro	2:1
16.10.21	Vis Pesaro - Cesena	1:1
07.03.21	Cesena - Vis Pesaro	0:2

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