Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group B - Round 9

Date: 13 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Mario Sandrini (Legnago)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 256, Sky Sport 257


	Legnago Salus		Gubbio

	1	X	2
	4.4	3.2	1.72
	4.5	3.3	1.8
	4.93	3.2	1.83
	4.37	3.19	1.91	Watch
	4.6	3.2	1.73
	4.79	3.18	1.74	Watch
	4.5	3.3	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.58 ↑ (4.08)	3.22 ↑ (3.08)	1.79 ↓ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Legnago Salus
20.1%

Draw
28.5%

Gubbio
51.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.3%

29.5%

48.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.4%

27%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Legnago Salus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Gubbio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legnago Salus than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gubbio than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gubbio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Legnago Salus - Gubbio Predictions

Users Predictions: Gubbio will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rigon A. (G) 25. Bombagi F. 10. Demirovic E. 93. Franzolini A. 30. Ibrahim O. 77. Martic M. 23. Muteba V. 26. Noce M. 6. Pelagatti C. 21. Ruggeri G. 9. Svidercoschi S.	22. Venturi G. (G) 21. Corsinelli F. (C) 6. Franchini S. 99. Giovannini R. 78. Iaccarino G. 80. Proietti M. 33. Rocchi G. 13. Stramaccioni D. 9. Tommasini C. 4. Tozzuolo A. 24. Zallu F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Ruggeri G. 🟨,
37', Martic M. 🟨,
42', Ibrahim O. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Stramaccioni D. ↓, Pirrello R. ↑,
57', Tozzuolo A. 🟨,
62', Iaccarino G. 🟨,
70', Svidercoschi S. ↓, D'Amore F. ↑,
70', Ruggeri G. ↓, Rossi A. ↑,
72', Franchini S. ↓, Rosaia G. ↑,
72', Rosaia G. ↓, Maisto F. ↑,
74', Franzolini A. 🟨,
74', Ibrahim O. ↓, Malumandsoko P. ↑,
75', 0 - 1, Rosaia G. ⚽,
82', Pelagatti C. ↓, Basso Ricci A. ↑,
83', Bombagi F. ↓, Palazzino F. ↑,
83', Giovannini R. ↓, Rovaglia P. ↑,
87', Zallu F. ↓, D'Avino L. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Legnago Salus is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Gubbio is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Legnago Salus could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Gubbio is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Legnago Salus won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2 (average 0.5:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Legnago Salus won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Legnago Salus
Italian Serie C Group B
06.10.24	Virtus Entella - Legnago Salus	3:1 ✺
29.09.24	Legnago Salus - Pineto	2:1 ✺
25.09.24	Ternana - Legnago Salus	8:0 ✺
21.09.24	Legnago Salus - Sestri Levante	0:3 ✺
13.09.24	Arezzo - Legnago Salus	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWLLL
- AS Gubbio 1910
Italian Serie C Group B
06.10.24	Pineto - Gubbio	1:2 ✺
28.09.24	Gubbio - Sassari Torres	1:2 ✺
24.09.24	Arezzo - Gubbio	2:0 ✺
20.09.24	Gubbio - Campobasso	0:0 ✺
15.09.24	Perugia - Gubbio	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
21.02.21	Legnago Salus - Gubbio	1:2
25.10.20	Gubbio - Legnago Salus	0:0

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