Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 18

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Pietro Barbetti (Gubbio)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Gubbio		Sassari Torres

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.12	3	3.45
	2.48	3	3.26
	2.17	3.11	3.28	Watch
	2.4	2.75	2.9
	2.12	2.95	3.44	Watch
	2.5	2.75	3.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.01)	2.93 ↓ (3.29)	3.25 ↓ (3.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gubbio
40.1%

Draw
31.5%

Sassari Torres
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

28%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

25.9%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gubbio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gubbio's form might have worsened.

Sassari Torres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gubbio than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sassari Torres than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Gubbio - Sassari Torres Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Gubbio will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Krapikas T. (G) 23. Bruscagin M. 4. Baroncelli L. 5. Di Bitonto A. 34. Zallu F. 44. Hraiech S. 82. Djankpata H. 8. Rosaia G. (C) 40. Costa G. 9. Tommasini C. 10. Di Massimo A.	12. Zaccagno A. (G) 23. Antonelli N. 14. Idda R. 3. Mercadante M. 16. Sala M. 10. Mastinu G. (C) 24. Giorico D. 27. Zambataro E. 70. Starita E. 7. Di Stefano L. 9. Musso A.
Substitutes
1. Bagnolini N. (G) 21. Carraro F. 78. Conti V. 17. Fazzi N. 22. Galli T. (G) 73. Ghirardello T. 19. La Mantia A. 80. Niang O. 28. Spina M. 30. Sportolaro C. 3. Tentardini A.	5. Biagetti C. 25. Bonin L. 4. Brentan M. 21. Carboni M. 11. Diakite A. 26. Dumani S. 30. Fabriani C. 20. Lunghi A. 22. Marano M. (G) 8. Masala A. 6. Nunziatini F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Di Massimo A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Djankpata H. ↓, Conti V. ↑,
58', Di Stefano L. ↓, Masala A. ↑,
58', Starita E. ↓, Lunghi A. ↑,
63', Costa G. ↓, La Mantia A. ↑,
63', Hraiech S. ↓, Carraro F. ↑,
63', Di Massimo A. ↓, Fazzi N. ↑,
64', Conti V. 🟨,
71', Musso A. ↓, Diakite A. ↑,
71', Mastinu G. ↓, Brentan M. ↑,
78', Conti V. 🟨,
83', Bruscagin M. ↓, Niang O. ↑,
90+5', Di Bitonto A. 🟨,
90+5', Krapikas T. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gubbio won 1.

Recent performances by Gubbio have been up and down (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Torres has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Gubbio might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Gubbio won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Gubbio won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Gubbio 1910
Italian Serie C Group B
06.12.25	Pianese - Gubbio	1:0 ✺
29.11.25	Gubbio - Livorno	0:0 ✺
26.11.25	Gubbio - Juventus U23	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Ravenna - Gubbio	1:1 ✺
07.11.25	Ascoli - Gubbio	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LTTTT
- Sassari Torres 1903
Italian Serie C Group B
07.12.25	Sassari Torres - Pineto	1:1 ✺
30.11.25	Rimini - Sassari Torres	N/A ✺
24.11.25	Livorno - Sassari Torres	3:1 ✺
15.11.25	Sassari Torres - Perugia	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Ravenna - Sassari Torres	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 T?LTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
09.02.25	Sassari Torres - Gubbio	0:0
28.09.24	Gubbio - Sassari Torres	1:2
28.03.24	Gubbio - Sassari Torres	1:0
26.11.23	Sassari Torres - Gubbio	3:1
15.04.23	Gubbio - Sassari Torres	2:2
10.12.22	Sassari Torres - Gubbio	0:0

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