Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group B - Round 8

Date: 6 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadio Comunale (Chiavari)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 254


	Virtus Entella		Legnago Salus

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.4	7.75
	1.33	4.5	9
	1.33	4.74	10.19
	1.38	4.39	9	Watch
	1.3	4.33	9
	1.3	4.55	9.05	Watch
	1.33	4.5	9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.47)	4.49 ↑ (3.9)	9 ↑ (5.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virtus Entella
69.3%

Draw
20.5%

Legnago Salus
10.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.4%

23.1%

15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.1%

22.1%

14.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus Entella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Virtus Entella's performance.

Legnago Salus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Legnago Salus might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Entella than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Virtus Entella that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legnago Salus than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Virtus Entella - Legnago Salus Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Siaulys O. (G) 6. Tiritiello A. 15. Marconi I. 23. Parodi L. 70. Bariti D. 14. Corbari A. 21. Lipani J. 24. Franzoni A. 26. Di Mario S. 77. Guiu B. 9. Castelli D.	1. Rigon A. (G) 27. Ampollini F. 77. Martic M. 32. Zanandrea G. 23. Muteba V. 5. Viero F. 19. Diaby A. 28. D'Amore F. 10. Demirovic E. 93. Franzolini A. 9. Svidercoschi S.
Substitutes
10. Casarotto M. 40. Costa G. 22. Del Frate F. (G) 47. Di Noia G. 16. Manzi C. 43. Ndrecka A. 1. Paroni A. (G) 90. Portanova D. 29. Santini C. 8. Siatounis A. 7. Tomaselli G. 32. Zappella D.	73. Ballan L. 99. Basso Ricci A. 38. Berto A. (G) 25. Bombagi F. 30. Ibrahim O. 90. Malumandsoko P. 33. Maset Y. 26. Noce M. 7. Palazzino F. 6. Pelagatti C. 18. Rossi A. 21. Ruggeri G. 22. Toniolo G. (G) 14. Travaglini M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Castelli D. ⚽,
28', Zanandrea G. 🟨,
45', Zanandrea G. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Viero F. ↓, Bombagi F. ↑,
51', 2 - 0, Di Mario S. ⚽,
59', 3 - 0, Corbari A. ⚽,
62', Di Mario S. 🟨,
63', D'Amore F. ↓, Ruggeri G. ↑,
65', Corbari A. ↓, Di Noia G. ↑,
65', Di Mario S. ↓, Tomaselli G. ↑,
67', Demirovic E. ↓, Rossi A. ↑,
71', Lipani J. ↓, Costa G. ↑,
71', Guiu B. ↓, Casarotto M. ↑,
74', Castelli D. ↓, Santini C. ↑,
77', Ampollini F. ↓, Pelagatti C. ↑,
77', Diaby A. ↓, Ibrahim O. ↑,
79', Costa G. 🟨,
87', 3 - 1, Svidercoschi S. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals) and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Virtus Entella is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Legnago Salus is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Virtus Entella could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Virtus Entella is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virtus Entella
Italian Serie C Group B
29.09.24	SPAL - Virtus Entella	0:2 ✺
26.09.24	Virtus Entella - Pescara	0:1 ✺
22.09.24	Pianese - Virtus Entella	1:1 ✺
13.09.24	Virtus Entella - Carpi	1:1 ✺
09.09.24	Virtus Entella - Ascoli	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLTTW
- FC Legnago Salus
Italian Serie C Group B
29.09.24	Legnago Salus - Pineto	2:1 ✺
25.09.24	Ternana - Legnago Salus	8:0 ✺
21.09.24	Legnago Salus - Sestri Levante	0:3 ✺
13.09.24	Arezzo - Legnago Salus	1:0 ✺
08.09.24	Legnago Salus - Vis Pesaro	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLLLL

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