Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group B - Round 17

Date: 30 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Mario Sandrini (Legnago)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 253


	Legnago Salus		Carpi

	1	X	2
	2.95	3	2.2
	3.15	3.15	2.26
	3.23	3.07	2.25
	3.22	3.13	2.3
	3.1	3.1	2.15
	3.11	3.18	2.16	Watch
	3.15	3.15	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↑ (2.56)	3.11 ↓ (3.29)	2.23 ↓ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Legnago Salus
29.3%

Draw
29.5%

Carpi
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

27.6%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

27.8%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Legnago Salus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Legnago Salus's form might have worsened.

Carpi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legnago Salus than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Legnago Salus, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carpi than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Legnago Salus - Carpi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
91. Perucchini F. (G) 26. Noce M. 77. Martic M. 6. Pelagatti C. (C) 23. Muteba V. 25. Bombagi F. 93. Franzolini A. 73. Ballan L. 10. Demirovic E. 99. Basso Ricci A. 9. Svidercoschi S.	1. Sorzi M. (G) 16. Tcheuna R. 6. Zagnoni D. 13. Panelli T. 2. Verza N. 90. Figoli M. 4. Mandelli A. (C) 30. Contiliano N. 72. Cortesi M. 10. Saporetti S. 27. Gerbi E.
Substitutes
27. Ampollini F. 20. Banse O. 38. Berto A. (G) 28. D'Amore F. 19. Diaby A. 30. Ibrahim O. 90. Malumandsoko P. 33. Maset Y. 7. Palazzino F. 1. Rigon A. (G) 18. Rossi A. 17. Toma R. 14. Travaglini M. 5. Viero F. 11. Zanetti L.	11. Amayah P. 5. Calanca A. 3. Cecotti T. 12. Lorenzi C. (G) 33. Mazzali S. 8. Nardi N. 22. Pezzolato M. (G) 21. Puletto F. 23. Sall A. 17. Sereni M. 7. Stanzani L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', Ballan L. 🟨,
26', 0 - 1, Gerbi E. ⚽,
32', Tcheuna R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Ballan L. ↓, Zanetti L. ↑,
49', Zagnoni D. 🟨,
52', Bombagi F. 🟨,
53', 0 - 2, Tcheuna R. ⚽,
58', 1 - 2, Zanetti L. ⚽,
61', Cortesi M. ↓, Puletto F. ↑,
64', Puletto F. 🟨,
73', Saporetti S. ↓, Sall A. ↑,
73', Verza N. ↓, Calanca A. ↑,
75', Muteba V. ↓, Ampollini F. ↑,
76', Franzolini A. ↓, Diaby A. ↑,
84', Demirovic E. ↓, Palazzino F. ↑,
87', 1 - 3, Sall A. ⚽,
90+2', Contiliano N. ↓, Amayah P. ↑,
90+2', Gerbi E. ↓, Sereni M. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Legnago Salus is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Carpi is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Legnago Salus won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0 (average 0:0).

Including matches at home between the teams Legnago Salus won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Legnago Salus
Italian Serie C Group B
24.11.24	Pianese - Legnago Salus	1:1 ✺
17.11.24	Legnago Salus - SPAL	0:3 ✺
09.11.24	Lucchese - Legnago Salus	1:1 ✺
03.11.24	Legnago Salus - Perugia	2:2 ✺
29.10.24	Rimini - Legnago Salus	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 TLTTL
- Carpi FC
Italian Serie C Group B
25.11.24	Carpi - Ternana	1:2 ✺
17.11.24	Gubbio - Carpi	1:0 ✺
10.11.24	Carpi - Campobasso	0:0 ✺
03.11.24	Pineto - Carpi	1:4 ✺
29.10.24	Carpi - Arezzo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
03.03.21	Legnago Salus - Carpi	0:0
07.11.20	Carpi - Legnago Salus	0:0

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