Match Info

Date: 21 February 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Modena		Sambenedettese

	1	X	2
	2.2	3	3.3
	2.3	2.65	3.4
	2.25	2.63	3.45
	2.35	2.55	3.35
	2.46	2.76	3.63
	2.35	2.8	3.4
	2.32	2.99	3.16	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (1.9)	2.77 ↓ (3.07)	3.38 ↓ (3.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Modena
39.6%

Draw
33.2%

Sambenedettese
27.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.6%

29.4%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.7%

22.3%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Modena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Modena's form might have worsened.

Sambenedettese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Modena than the current prediction. (+23.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Modena, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sambenedettese than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sambenedettese, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Modena - Sambenedettese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs and 8 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Sambenedettese could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Modena will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Modena won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Modena won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Modena
Italian Serie C Group B
18.02.21	FeralpiSalò - Modena	0:1 ✺
15.02.21	Modena - Matelica	4:1 ✺
07.02.21	Ravenna - Modena	0:0 ✺
02.02.21	Modena - Triestina	1:1 ✺
30.01.21	Vis Pesaro - Modena	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWTTL
- Sambenedettese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
17.02.21	Sambenedettese - Imolese	1:3 ✺
14.02.21	Mantova - Sambenedettese	1:1 ✺
07.02.21	Sambenedettese - Fano	2:2 ✺
03.02.21	Fermana - Sambenedettese	1:0 ✺
30.01.21	Gubbio - Sambenedettese	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
25.10.20	Sambenedettese - Modena	0:2
09.02.20	Modena - Sambenedettese	1:0
25.09.19	Sambenedettese - Modena	1:1
27.08.17	Sambenedettese - Modena	2:0
15.04.17	Modena - Sambenedettese	2:1
04.12.16	Sambenedettese - Modena	1:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Modena
Italian Serie B
31.10.26	Modena - Mantova	✺
- Sambenedettese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
30.10.26	Reggiana - Sambenedettese	✺

Modena - Sambenedettese