Match Info

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday


	Leiria		Académica Coimbra

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.30	3.75
	2.00	3.25	3.25
	1.96	3.32	4.04
	1.93	3.39	3.86	Watch
	1.90	3.25	3.95
	1.88	3.40	3.94
	1.91	3.30	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (1.94)	3.32 ↓ (3.34)	3.78 ↓ (3.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leiria
47.8%

Draw
27.8%

Académica Coimbra
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.2%

28%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

27%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leiria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Académica Coimbra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leiria than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Académica Coimbra than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Leiria - Académica Coimbra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7th and 9th).

Leiria has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Performances by Académica have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

In this matchup, Leiria is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Leiria has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:4 (averaging 1:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Leiria against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 1:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Leiria	6	3	1	2	10:7	3	10
9	Academica	6	3	0	3	8:10	-2	9

Last Results with these Odds

Leiria - the odds 1.94 are the expected chance of winning is 48.18%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Leiria
Taça de Portugal
19.09.26	Elvas - Leiria	0:2 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
13.09.26	Amarante - Leiria	2:2 ✺
06.09.26	Leiria - Portimonense	1:0 ✺
28.08.26	Leiria - Tondela	2:0 ✺
22.08.26	Leixões - Leiria	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WTWWW
- Académica Coimbra
Taça de Portugal
18.09.26	Real SC - Académica Coimbra	1:4 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
11.09.26	Académica Coimbra - Benfica B	0:3 ✺
05.09.26	Penafiel - Académica Coimbra	4:1 ✺
29.08.26	Académica Coimbra - Lusitânia	0:2 ✺
21.08.26	Tondela - Académica Coimbra	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
15.01.23	Académica Coimbra - Leiria	1:3
03.09.22	Leiria - Académica Coimbra	1:1
Club Friendly
23.07.19	Académica Coimbra - Leiria	2:0
Liga Portugal
20.01.12	Académica Coimbra - Leiria	N/A

Leiria - Académica Coimbra: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide