Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 7

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa (Leiria) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Fonseca M. (Por)


	Leiria		Académica Coimbra

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.4	3.8
	1.90	3.20	3.50
	1.95	3.3	3.65
	2.02	3.5	4.12
	1.92	3.46	3.94	Watch
	1.91	3.35	4
	1.88	3.4	3.94	Watch
	1.94	3.3	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (1.94)	3.36 ↑ (3.34)	3.81 ↓ (3.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leiria
48.1%

Draw
27.6%

Académica Coimbra
24.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.2%

28%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

27%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leiria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Académica Coimbra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leiria than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Académica Coimbra than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Leiria - Académica Coimbra Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Leiria will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Odehnal J. (G) 68. Maga 44. Marcelo 16. Ze Pedro 70. Masaki H. 21. Jaiminho 6. Kouassi E. 98. Guirassy 17. Fernandez P. 7. Ondo N. 9. Munoz J. (C)	12. Victor Braga (G) 2. Xavi Grande 3. Teixeira R. 4. Silva G. 15. Kaka 25. Pierre L. 5. Silva L. (C) 20. Sinisterra J. 8. Zohi K. 92. Coundoul A. 19. Rodrigues A.
Substitutes
25. Amado D. 3. Baro M. 42. Caturra T. 11. Jair da Silva 80. Joel C. (G) 29. Loppy D. 88. Martins D. 82. Ntanda S. 79. Oliveira P. 34. Quilma 8. Reko 18. Tharlley	98. Alves C. (G) 10. Faure I. 23. Gomes R. 13. Kauan 1. Macedo N. (G) 7. Mane A. 17. Marcos Paulo 54. Ni Rodrigues 46. Nunes H. 60. Ribeiro Oliveira J. 26. Soares T. 9. Tavares M.
Coaches
Pereira F.	Barbosa A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', Teixeira R. 🟨,
36', 0 - 1, Silva L. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Kouassi E. ↓, Tharlley ↑,
46', Masaki H. ↓, Baro M. ↑,
46', Teixeira R. ↓, Ni Rodrigues ↑,
49', 0 - 2, Zohi K. ⚽,
54', Kaka ↓, Mane A. ↑,
60', Pierre L. ↓, Marcos Paulo ↑,
66', Ondo N. ↓, Loppy D. ↑,
66', Ze Pedro ↓, Jair da Silva ↑,
67', 🟨,
69', Silva L. ↓, Nunes H. ↑,
69', Zohi K. ↓, Gomes R. ↑,
75', Maga 🟨,
81', Jaiminho ↓, Ntanda S. ↑,
85', Rodrigues A. 🟨,
85', Guirassy 🟨,
87', Coundoul A. ↓, Faure I. ↑,

Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8th and 12th).

Leiria is currently on a high with consecutive positive results (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Académica has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

In this matchup, Leiria is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Leiria has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:4 (averaging 1:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Leiria against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 1:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Academica	8	5	0	3	14:10	4	15
10	Leiria	8	3	2	3	11:10	1	11

Last Results with these Odds

Leiria - the odds 1.94 are the expected chance of winning is 48.18%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Leiria
Taça de Portugal
19.09.26	Elvas - Leiria	0:2 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
13.09.26	Amarante - Leiria	2:2 ✺
06.09.26	Leiria - Portimonense	1:0 ✺
28.08.26	Leiria - Tondela	2:0 ✺
22.08.26	Leixões - Leiria	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WTWWW
- Académica Coimbra
Taça de Portugal
18.09.26	Real SC - Académica Coimbra	1:4 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
11.09.26	Académica Coimbra - Benfica B	0:3 ✺
05.09.26	Penafiel - Académica Coimbra	4:1 ✺
29.08.26	Académica Coimbra - Lusitânia	0:2 ✺
21.08.26	Tondela - Académica Coimbra	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
15.01.23	Académica Coimbra - Leiria	1:3
03.09.22	Leiria - Académica Coimbra	1:1
Club Friendly
23.07.19	Académica Coimbra - Leiria	2:0
Liga Portugal
20.01.12	Académica Coimbra - Leiria	N/A

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