Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 4

Date: 28 August 2026, Friday

Location: Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa (Leiria)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Leiria		Tondela

	1	X	2
	2.10	3.10	3.10
	2.10	3.10	3.10
	2.04	3.20	3.20
	2.24	3.39	3.42
	2.24	3.34	3.15	Watch
	2.17	3.35	3.35
	2.13	3.25	3.42	Watch
	2.13	3.15	3.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.36)	3.24 ↑ (3.18)	3.24 ↑ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leiria
43%

Draw
28.5%

Tondela
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

28.5%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leiria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Tondela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Leiria - Tondela Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Leiria will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Odehnal J. (G) 68. Maga 44. Marcelo 16. Ze Pedro 70. Masaki H. 11. Jair da Silva 19. Lottin A. 98. Guirassy 17. Fernandez P. 7. Ondo N. 9. Munoz J. (C)	28. Carlao (G) 15. Carraca 5. Afonso J. 6. Farru 12. Ze Ricardo 8. Tavares H. (C) 13. Sithole Y. 17. Novero G. 7. Cascavel 19. Tomane 20. Felix H.
Substitutes
22. Almeida M. 25. Amado D. 20. Gomes B. 21. Jaiminho 80. Joel C. (G) 6. Kouassi E. 88. Martins D. 4. Mascaro L. 82. Ntanda S. 79. Oliveira P. 8. Reko 18. Tharlley	22. Almeida B. 14. Armendariz X. 2. Bebeto 95. da Silva R. (G) 9. Joao Lima 4. Marques C. 37. Mateus Sarara 21. Ramalho G. 11. Richarllyson 77. Tiago Dias 26. van der Heide A.
Coaches
Pereira F.	Costa R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Carraca 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', Cascavel 🟨,
48', 🟨,
52', 1 - 0, Fernandez P. ⚽,
61', Sithole Y. ↓, Armendariz X. ↑,
64', Jair da Silva ↓, Jaiminho ↑,
66', 2 - 0, Ondo N. ⚽,
71', Ze Ricardo ↓, Joao Lima ↑,
71', Tavares H. ↓, Bebeto ↑,
72', Guirassy 🟨,
77', Cascavel ↓, van der Heide A. ↑,
77', Novero G. ↓, Tiago Dias ↑,
83', Fernandez P. ↓, Kouassi E. ↑,
83', Munoz J. ↓, Ntanda S. ↑,
83', Lottin A. ↓, Martins D. ↑,
90+2', Ondo N. ↓, Tharlley ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leiria won 2.

Tondela has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Leiria will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Leiria won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.7:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Leiria won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1.3:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Leiria	6	3	1	2	10:7	3	10
10	Tondela	6	3	0	3	7:6	1	9

Last Results with these Odds

Leiria - the odds 2.36 are the expected chance of winning is 38.28%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Tondela - the odds 2.72 are the expected chance of winning is 33.27%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Leiria
Portuguese Liga 2
22.08.26	Leixões - Leiria	2:4 ✺
15.08.26	Leiria - Benfica B	1:2 ✺
09.08.26	Vizela - Leiria	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
28.07.26	Las Palmas - Leiria	3:2 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
17.05.26	Leiria - Feirense	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLLLT
- CD Tondela
Portuguese Liga 2
21.08.26	Tondela - Académica Coimbra	0:2 ✺
16.08.26	Leixões - Tondela	1:0 ✺
08.08.26	Tondela - Amarante	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Rio Ave - Tondela	3:1 ✺
19.07.26	Tondela - Nacional	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLWL?

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
16.05.25	Leiria - Tondela	0:2
04.01.25	Tondela - Leiria	1:4
Club Friendly
02.08.24	Leiria - Tondela	2:1
Portuguese Liga 2
24.02.24	Tondela - Leiria	1:1
01.10.23	Leiria - Tondela	2:2
Taça de Portugal
20.10.13	Leiria - Tondela	1:3 ET

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