Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 5

Date: 6 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa (Leiria)

Referee: Costa B. J. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Leiria		Portimonense

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.10	3.30
	2.05	3.10	3.10
	1.93	3.30	3.40
	2.20	3.33	3.52
	2.26	3.3	3.15	Watch
	2.13	3.25	3.50
	2.14	3.23	3.44	Watch
	2.09	3.20	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (1.9)	3.23 ↓ (3.45)	3.33 ↓ (3.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Leiria
43.8%

Draw
28.6%

Portimonense
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

27%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

26.6%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leiria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leiria's form might have worsened.

Portimonense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leiria than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portimonense than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Leiria - Portimonense Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Leiria will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Odehnal J. (G) 68. Maga 44. Marcelo 16. Ze Pedro 70. Masaki H. 21. Jaiminho 19. Lottin A. 98. Guirassy 17. Fernandez P. 7. Ondo N. 9. Munoz J. (C)	1. Dudu (G) 73. Junior M. 6. Neves S. 3. Jarleysom 2. Edney 15. Xavier 8. Pancadas Casimiro J. D. 17. Reis J. (C) 18. Mamede 19. Dju M. 10. Nakajima S.
Substitutes
22. Almeida M. 25. Amado D. 20. Gomes B. 11. Jair da Silva 80. Joel C. (G) 6. Kouassi E. 88. Martins D. 3. Nobrega M. 82. Ntanda S. 79. Oliveira P. 8. Reko 18. Tharlley	70. Aguas G. 21. da Rocha Y. 7. Djassi D. 11. Duda 4. Italo Cabelinho 88. Jader 20. Okereke C. 36. Thauan Lara 5. Tunguliiadi G. 93. Welinton Junior 65. Wellington Santana (G) 38. Wermeson
Coaches
Pereira F.	Martins da Costa D. A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', Guirassy 🟨,
30', Nakajima S. (Penalty Awarded),
30', Pancadas Casimiro J. D. 🟨,
41', Jaiminho 🟨,
44', 1 - 0, Ondo N. ⚽, Maga (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Mamede ↓, Wermeson ↑,
46', Pancadas Casimiro J. D. ↓, Djassi D. ↑,
46', Cassama M. ↓, da Rocha Y. ↑,
64', Maga 🟨,
65', Jaiminho ↓, Jair da Silva ↑,
65', Guirassy ↓, Tharlley ↑,
65', Fernandez P. ↓, Ntanda S. ↑,
65', Junior M. ↓, Welinton Junior ↑,
70', Nakajima S. ↓, Duda ↑,
87', Munoz J. ↓, Kouassi E. ↑,
90+1', Ondo N. ↓, Oliveira P. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leiria won 4.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Leiria is considered a favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Leiria won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 1.7:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Leiria won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 1.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Leiria	6	3	1	2	10:7	3	10
11	Portimonense	6	2	1	3	4:6	-2	7

Last Results with these Odds

Leiria - the odds 1.9 are the expected chance of winning is 49.1%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Leiria
Portuguese Liga 2
28.08.26	Leiria - Tondela	2:0 ✺
22.08.26	Leixões - Leiria	2:4 ✺
15.08.26	Leiria - Benfica B	1:2 ✺
09.08.26	Vizela - Leiria	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
28.07.26	Las Palmas - Leiria	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWLLL
- Portimonense SC
Portuguese Liga 2
29.08.26	Portimonense - Leixões	0:2 ✺
21.08.26	Benfica B - Portimonense	1:1 ✺
16.08.26	Portimonense - Vizela	2:0 ✺
08.08.26	Penafiel - Portimonense	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
31.07.26	Portimonense - Nottingham Forest	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
28.02.26	Leiria - Portimonense	1:0
04.10.25	Portimonense - Leiria	1:1
26.01.25	Leiria - Portimonense	1:0
17.08.24	Portimonense - Leiria	0:3
Taça de Portugal
20.11.20	Leiria - Portimonense	1:0
25.09.16	Leiria - Portimonense	3:2 penalties

Upcoming Matches