Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - ROUND 20

Date: 24 February 2023, Friday

Location: Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa (Leiria)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Leiria		Fontinhas

	1	X	2
	1.31	4.4	8.25
	1.3	4.6	8
	1.34	4.81	10.16
	1.33	4.6	8.5	Watch
	1.32	4.5	8.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.42)	4.58 ↑ (4.41)	8.66 ↑ (7.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leiria
69.4%

Draw
20%

Fontinhas
10.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.9%

21.2%

12.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.6%

20.4%

12.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leiria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Fontinhas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leiria than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fontinhas than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Leiria - Fontinhas Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Leiria will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Fontinhas will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group) and 12 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group)).

Leiria is Qualified for Liga 3 (Promotion Group)

Fontinhas is Liga 3 (Relegation Group)

Leiria in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Fontinhas has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Leiria is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Leiria to win the game is with odds 1.32.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Leiria won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Leiria won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Leiria
Portuguese Liga 3
18.02.23	Sporting Lisbon B - Leiria	0:1 ✺
11.02.23	Leiria - Oliveira Hospital	2:1 ✺
05.02.23	Leiria - Amora	2:0 ✺
29.01.23	Belenenses - Leiria	1:2 ✺
15.01.23	Académica Coimbra - Leiria	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWWWW
- GD Fontinhas
Portuguese Liga 3
18.02.23	Fontinhas - Amora	0:1 ✺
11.02.23	Belenenses - Fontinhas	6:0 ✺
04.02.23	Fontinhas - Real SC	0:1 ✺
29.01.23	Académica Coimbra - Fontinhas	1:0 ✺
21.01.23	Fontinhas - Alverca	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
12.11.22	Fontinhas - Leiria	1:1
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
26.01.20	Leiria - Fontinhas	1:0
25.08.19	Fontinhas - Leiria	1:1

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