Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - ROUND 18

Date: 11 February 2023, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Belenenses		Fontinhas

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.7	5
	1.52	3.75	5.5
	1.62	3.95	5.56
	1.58	3.74	5.05
	1.58	3.85	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.85)	3.8 ↑ (3.1)	5.18 ↑ (4.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Belenenses
58.3%

Draw
24.1%

Fontinhas
17.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.2%

29.4%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

24.9%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Belenenses has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Belenenses's performance.

Fontinhas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belenenses than the current prediction. (-16.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Belenenses that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fontinhas than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fontinhas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Belenenses - Fontinhas Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Belenenses will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Fontinhas will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

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Preview

Recent matches Belenenses is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fontinhas has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Belenenses is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Belenenses won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Belenenses won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Os Belenenses
Portuguese Liga 3
05.02.23	Sporting Lisbon B - Belenenses	0:1 ✺
29.01.23	Belenenses - Leiria	1:2 ✺
21.01.23	Amora - Belenenses	2:1 ✺
15.01.23	Belenenses - Oliveira Hospital	4:1 ✺
06.01.23	Belenenses - Real SC	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLLWL
- GD Fontinhas
Portuguese Liga 3
04.02.23	Fontinhas - Real SC	0:1 ✺
29.01.23	Académica Coimbra - Fontinhas	1:0 ✺
21.01.23	Fontinhas - Alverca	1:1 ✺
16.01.23	Setúbal - Fontinhas	2:1 ✺
07.01.23	Fontinhas - Moncarapachense	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
28.10.22	Fontinhas - Belenenses	1:1
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
08.05.22	Fontinhas - Belenenses	2:1
03.04.22	Belenenses - Fontinhas	2:0

Belenenses - Fontinhas