Match Info
Club FriendlyDate: 1 August 2026, SaturdayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Usa | SportsEngine Play |
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Rio Ave |
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Tondela |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.25 |
3.30 |
2.65 |
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 |
2.32 |
3.2 |
2.88 |
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 |
2.25 |
3.45 |
2.91 |
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 |
5.85 |
3.60 |
1.58 |
 Watch |
 |
2.2 |
3.05 |
2.85 |
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 |
2.35 |
3.24 |
3 |
Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.87 ↑
(1.96) |
3.31 ↓
(3.57) |
2.65 ↓
(3.37) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Rio Ave
33.9% | Draw
29.4% | Tondela
36.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rio Ave has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rio Ave's form might have worsened.Tondela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tondela's recent form is better than expected.Rio Ave - Tondela Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 14', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 47', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 54', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+1', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rio Ave won 3.Tondela may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Rio Ave is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Rio Ave won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 25:20. (average 1.7:1.3).Including home matches between the teams, Rio Ave won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.9:1.6).
Last Results with these Odds
Tondela - the odds 3.37 are the expected chance of winning is 27.3%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Liga Portugal | | | 09.03.26 | Tondela - Rio Ave | 0:1 | | 05.10.25 | Rio Ave - Tondela | 3:0 | | Taรงa de Portugal | | | 12.01.22 | Rio Ave - Tondela | 0:1 ET | | Liga Portugal | | | 09.02.21 | Rio Ave - Tondela | 2:1 | | 20.09.20 | Tondela - Rio Ave | 1:1 | | 22.02.20 | Tondela - Rio Ave | 1:2 | | 15.09.19 | Rio Ave - Tondela | 2:4 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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