Match Info

Liga Revelacao U23 - Losers stage - Round 2

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Gil Vicente U23		Leiria U23

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.4	3.2
	1.96	3.85	3.33	Watch
	1.95	3.3	3.1
	2	3.79	3.26
	1.94	3.6	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.85)	3.59 ↑ (3.35)	3.23 ↓ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gil Vicente U23
46.4%

Draw
25.4%

Leiria U23
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

26.7%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

23.5%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gil Vicente U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Leiria U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gil Vicente U23 than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leiria U23 than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Gil Vicente U23 - Leiria U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, ⚽,
41', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', 3 - 0, ⚽,
86', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Gil Vicente U23 is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Leiria U23 has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Gil Vicente U23 is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Gil Vicente U23	7	2	2	3	9:10	-1	8
14	Leiria U23	7	2	2	3	7:8	-1	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gil Vicente U23
Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
22.12.25	Vizela U23 - Gil Vicente U23	2:1 ✺
16.12.25	Gil Vicente U23 - Rio Ave U23	2:2 ✺
09.12.25	Leixões U23 - Gil Vicente U23	1:1 ✺
03.12.25	Braga U23 - Gil Vicente U23	2:1 ✺
26.11.25	Gil Vicente U23 - Maritimo U23	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTTLT
- Leiria U23
Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
22.12.25	Leiria U23 - Sporting Lisbon U23	0:1 ✺
15.12.25	Leiria U23 - Farense U23	0:1 ✺
09.12.25	Estoril U23 - Leiria U23	2:2 ✺
02.12.25	Leiria U23 - Santa Clara U23	0:2 ✺
18.11.25	Torreense U23 - Leiria U23	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLTLL

Gil Vicente U23 - Leiria U23: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide