Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 36

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday


	Leiston		Worcester City

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.1	2.45
	2.68	3.15	2.4
	2.74	2.93	2.64
	2.7	3.27	2.55	Watch
	2.45	3.1	2.45
	2.59	3.62	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↓ (2.86)	3.2 ↓ (3.44)	2.49 ↑ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leiston
34.8%

Draw
28.6%

Worcester City
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.6%

26.3%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

25.7%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leiston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Worcester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Worcester City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leiston than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Worcester City than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Worcester City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Leiston - Worcester City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Clemons W. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 8).

Leiston has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Worcester is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Leiston may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Worcester has had a series of away games.

Worcester is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Leiston won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Outrights of English Southern League Central Division for now

Leiston: 0.39% Worcester: 0.39%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Leiston	9	3	2	4	17:17	0	11
17	Worcester	9	1	4	4	7:12	-5	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leiston
English Southern League Central Division
14.03.26	Stamford - Leiston	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Leiston - Stratford Town	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Sudbury Town - Leiston	0:3 ✺
14.02.26	Leiston - Bromsgrove Sporting	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	Barwell - Leiston	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LTWTW
- Worcester City
English Southern League Central Division
17.03.26	Real Bedford - Worcester City	0:0 ✺
14.03.26	Worcester City - Barwell	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	Harborough Town - Worcester City	1:0 ✺
03.03.26	Bishops Stortford - Worcester City	1:2 ✺
28.02.26	Royston Town - Worcester City	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
08.11.25	Worcester City - Leiston	1:1

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