Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE CENTRAL DIVISION - ROUND 23

Date: 10 December 2022, Saturday


	Nuneaton Town		Leiston

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.4	2.35
	2.49	3.45	2.38
	2.64	3.49	2.42
	2.38	3.6	2.4
	2.55	3.54	2.39
	2.55	3.6	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.37)	3.51 ↓ (3.58)	2.38 (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nuneaton Town
36%

Draw
25.8%

Leiston
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

24.9%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

25.5%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nuneaton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Leiston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuneaton Town than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leiston than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Nuneaton Town - Leiston Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Central Division (Play Offs) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Central Division (Play Offs)).

Recent matches Nuneaton Town is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Leiston is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Leiston could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Nuneaton Town have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Nuneaton Town won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Nuneaton Town won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nuneaton Town
English Southern League Central Division
06.12.22	Coalville Town - Nuneaton Town	0:2 ✺
03.12.22	Barwell - Nuneaton Town	3:1 ✺
28.11.22	Kings Langley - Nuneaton Town	1:2 ✺
26.11.22	Nuneaton Town - Tamworth	1:1 ✺
19.11.22	Bromsgrove Sporting - Nuneaton Town	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLWTL
- Leiston
English Southern League Central Division
06.12.22	Rushall Olympic - Leiston	0:2 ✺
03.12.22	Mickleover Sports - Leiston	2:2 ✺
26.11.22	Leiston - Redditch United	2:1 ✺
22.11.22	Leiston - Royston Town	3:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
19.11.22	Leiston - Alvechurch	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
06.08.22	Leiston - Nuneaton Town	3:2
16.04.22	Leiston - Nuneaton Town	1:0
28.08.21	Nuneaton Town - Leiston	2:0
30.11.19	Leiston - Nuneaton Town	1:1

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